The No is in the lead in the race for the referendum on Sunday, at least according to the Twitter hashtag. The think tank Bruegel has examined over one hundred thousand tweets published between October 19 and November 27: in nine days, the hashtag "just a “no", "I vote no" and "no" have passed for the seven days of the counterparts but against the "just a” yes", "I vote yes" and "yes". The 19 November showed a substantial draw while in the evening of 23 November, when Matteo Renzi was a guest to door to Door, Yes the better they got. The signs are unmistakable: in the tv, and not only that, the premier breaks.
note how in the case of a referendum on Brexit, even in the last week before the vote, polls indicated that the prevalence of the "Remain", while on the social was at the top of the "Leave": surveys and vox populi in a social, traveling in opposite directions. According to the think-tank in Brussels, however, the results of the analysis on Twitter are not in contradiction with the probabilistic model published on the 17th of November, based on polls: No had a 73 percent chance of victory.
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