There are the first signs of revival of the economy. The president of Confcommercio Carlo Sangalli is convinced. “The 2015 will be a year of growth,” he said yesterday, opening the work of the Forum in Cernobbio and illustrating the report submitted by the Director of Studies, Mariano Bella. “Our growth estimate of 1.1%, in fact, means recovery.” There are some favorable international conditions, the cost of oil to the Euro exchange until the intervention of the ECB, but also increases the confidence of households and businesses. “After too many years of negative predictions and downward revisions, there is a cautious optimism. However, we are facing a crossroads – noted Sangalli – make do with what goes on the international scenario, changeable and uncertain, or seize the opportunities that present themselves, addressing the country on the path of growth. “
central node, according to Confcommercio, remain taxes, too many and growing. The VAT has already increased twice, the tax levy on the house went up by 115 percent from 2011 to 2014 and was introduced a tourist tax that penalizes tourism. “The concern that we have always denounced, and also recalled Draghi, is that taxes keep going up. The government cut transfers to local authorities but does not cut his taxes – added Sangalli – Municipalities and Regions, in turn, increase taxes to make ends meet. It is a vicious circle with only result: the tax burden is increasingly high. ” The President continues to report the situation to the government and is said disappointed by the latest laws of stability. “The desired operation ?? less government spending and lower taxes ?? was a missed opportunity. We hope that this time Renzi seize the opportunity. “
What refers Confcommercio? The reflection of the Office study describes two scenarios: one involves a prudent bond rate in the medium and long term to 2.3% with a saving of 4.3 billion euro in 2015 and 10 billion in 2016; the optimistic instead a rate of 1.8%, with a saving of 6.3 billion this year and $ 14 billion next year. With this “treasure” is possible to reduce the tax burden, dropping the personal income tax rate from 23% to 22% in the first case or two tax rates, from 23% to 22% and from 27% to 26%, in the second case. But at the same time we must continue with the spending review to avoid the risk that the safeguard clause shots. “We must prevent this spectrum – said Sangalli – which would lead to higher taxes 70 billion in three years. Otherwise, how do you boost domestic demand with Iva passing from 22 to 25.5% and from 10 to 13%? “.
The likelihood Iva there is also room for a note polemic against the government Renzi. “The President of the Council does not agree with such enthusiasm the intermediate bodies – has told the president of Confcommercio – But when I talk with merchants, are outside the exasperation and concern. I try to contain them, repeating that will block these things. But if this does not happen, it would be disastrous. The area of absolute poverty has expanded to six million people. We must reverse the trend, there is also a problem of social cohesion. ” In short, today’s businesses tertiary ask that every euro recovered from the fight against tax evasion and the spending review, together with the “treasure” of lower interest on debt, are intended to reduce tax. “What is the real, great problem of the country – concluded Sangalli – We continue to denounce this very grave concern and, by dint of beating the nail, I hope that reason will prevail. Indeed, the simple common sense. “
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