the Latest filings in the course for the manoeuvre to 24.5 billion that the government is preparing to launch. And, on the edge of the wool, the health check unlocking of the turnover, with the possibility of 7 recruitment of temporary but must leave the field, 1 of the 2 billion promised to increase the Fund, that in 2017 it will stop 112 billion. The new law of Budget bets on growth that, finally, the next year is expected to touch 1% of the round.
But that will, inevitably, go under the lens of Brussels, having regard to the slower than expected on the consolidation of the accounts. The ratio of the deficit relative to Gdp, in fact, fluctuates between 2.2% and 2.3% (compared to a maximum of 2.4% for overruns authorized by the Parliament), but it is not excluded that the bar can be set on the highest point of the fork. Solution that would make easier the closing of the circle on the covers. At the time would, in fact, 3.5 billion in the event of a deficit at 2.2%, while if you rise up to 2.3% of the resources to find you reduced to a little more than one and a half billion that could come from further cuts.
The maneuver mainly plays the card of public and private investment (by ‘Industry 4.0′ to the bonus for the restructuring and the mass in the earthquake-proof safety) to push the Gdp. The way indicated by the Bank of Italy, because, stresses in the economic Bulletin in Via Nazionale, a return “to the pace of investment observed before the crisis” strengthens both the cyclical upswing in both the quality and the growth potential of more than half a percentage point”. Covers, always tells the Bulletin, it would be better to find in the cuts and the structural of the public expenditure. It is precisely the spending review, however, could rise from 2.6 billion mentioned by the minister of the Economy Pier Carlo Padoan in the table submitted to Parliament at the beginning of the week. To achieve the aim of more than 24 billion needed to fund all the measures, in fact, the target of the spending cuts may increase, also thanks to a reduction (a failure to increase, not a cut in real resources available for health care. The minister of Health, Beatrice Lorenzin, has tried to defend until the end the level of the national health Fund (which was supposed to reach 113 billion in 2017).
additional Resources, in effect, there will be, but ‘only’ 1 billion, with which to do the front also to a stabilisation of 3 thousand doctors and 4 thousand nurses (which already are a cost item for regional health services). There was the possibility of more deficits, the question certainly would have been more simple but, as she once again reminded the minister of Economic Development Carlo Calenda, to have more space to invest should change “the rules of the fiscal compact”. A game complex not to open certain now, while you are still dealing with to get the go-ahead for the european – or at least a suspension of judgment until the spring to use more debt than has already been granted (+0,4 already built into the deficit programmatic 2%). Invoking not more of the clauses of flexibility, but those on the exceptional events, like the earthquake of August 24, and the emergency migrants, yet to be resolved.
Here are the main new features coming with the maneuver:
- VIA EQUITALIA: The premier Renzi announces that Equitalia will disappear. It is not yet known if it will be absorbed by the Agency of Revenue, and through what mechanisms will operate for the recovery of tax evasion. It would be, however, a standard ‘legal’, then that is incompatible with the maneuver. You may then ‘travel’ as connected with a tax reform more overall (cadastre, tax and simplifications several). Not excluding even the scrapping of the folders, with the elimination of the penalties and interest, limited to 3%. The collection is estimated at around one billion.
- the FAMILY, CHECK BONUS of 800 EUROS per FUTURE MAMME: this would be a contribution that couples may receive before the birth of the son, 800 euros to meet the first expenses. To these we would add a bonus to the nest. In addition to continuing with the application of the plan to combat poverty, the government is also studying a support to families that have two or more children. It would be families below the poverty threshold, for which precisely work the Floor, but still in difficulty. New incoming funds even for non self-sufficiency.
- P. A., the CONTEST FOR 10 THOUSAND. STUDY RECRUITMENT SCHOOL: in Addition to the additional resources for the renewal of the contract, in the public sector, the premier announces a re-opening of the turnover and therefore the possible public competitions for 10 thousand seats between the medical personnel and police forces, and, according to the latest rumors, should be stabilized 3 thousand doctors in temporary and 4 thousand nurses. In a maneuver might get you a package of recruitment for the world of the school, between staff Ata and stabilization of the 25 teachers on temporary contracts. Possible confirmation of the bonus for 18years.
- CONFIRM ECOBONUS AND SISMABONUS ENHANCED: Will be confirmed as the current tax breaks for renovations (50%) and energy efficiency (65%), including the bonus mobile introduced last year (to 50%). Instead it should be “greatly strengthened” the ‘sismabonus’, that is, the discount for its work in the earthquake-proof safety.
The facility should spend at least from 50% to 65%.
- FOR BUSINESS INCENTIVES AND LESS FEES: confirmation of the superammortamento to 140% and ‘iperammortamento’ to 250 percent for investments in innovation, tax reductions additional to those in research and development. For the enterprises will start in January, the reduction of the Ires from 27.5% to 24%. Attention to Smes with the introduction of Iri (24%) and a reduction of the contributions for the self-employed enrolled in the separate management Inps (26%) on the fiscal front and with the refinancing of the Guarantee Fund (900 million) and the ‘New Sabatini’. Possible new resources for the Made in Italy.
- PERHAPS the tax RELIEF ASSUMED, DOUBLES up ON AWARDS PRODUCTIVITY: incoming news even for workers that can count on the doubling of the tax relief on the premiums of productivity.
The flat rate tax of 10% will apply to awards up to 4 thousand euro and for incomes of up to 80 thousand. Still not a decision has been made, however, on the contributions.
- GET the FLEXIBILITY of PENSIONS: The Ape shall enter into force from 1 may 2017. The instalment of repayment of the loan will be equal to about 4.5-4.6% for each year of the advance. Be able to access the Epa facilitated the unemployed, the disabled, and certain categories of workers engaged in strenuous activity (teachers, construction, and certain categories of nurses), provided they have an income of less than 1.350 euros gross. To access you will need to have at least 30 years of contributions, if unemployed, and 35 if active workers. The resources for the whole package, pension (with contributions also on the minimum) will amount to about 1.5-1.6 billion by 2017 (6 billion in three years).
- COVERS, INCLUDING the VOLUNTARY BIS AND a LITTLE SPENDING: The shell would come from the spending (2.6 billion), a reduction of 1 billion to the refinancing of the health care fund than until now planned, a little less than 2 billion from voluntary while the other 3-4 from the remodulation (quarterly) of the Vat payments (together, the reverse charge and split payment). About 1.5 billion could come from the reframing of the Ace. Between 60-80 million should arrive from the base bid of the tender for the license of the SuperEnalotto and 1 billion from the frequencies. The choice of whether to indicate the deficit to 2.2% would increase the resources to be used for the 3.5 billion that would rise to over 5, with a deficit planned at 2.3%.
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