Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Update of the Def, the final stages in Parliament. “Banks do not have to download costs of bailouts on the c/c” – La Repubblica

The debate between the Office of the Parliamentary Budget and the government on the estimates of Gdp growth for the next year – that has characterized the last few days – is inscribed in the construction of the next Budget law, the former Stability. Saturday will be held the council of Ministers for his writing, and then get to the transmission to the Parliament by the 20th of the month. Meanwhile, by Monday, will go to Brussels on the draft budgetary plan. These will have to get a new verification on the part of the Upb, with the ability to fully evaluate even the last of the adjustments introduced with the Budget law and with a firm focus on the goal of borrowing by the us Treasury. At the base of the update Note, in fact, the government indicates an estimate of 2% between deficit and Gdp for next year, but in the Maneuver, may request to climb to 2.4% looking for tick in Brussels, belgium, via free related to extraordinary costs for migrants and securing the anti-seismic of the Country. Once all of the pieces will be arranged, the Office led by Giuseppe Pisauro will be able to block or promote the law of Balance: in the first case, it would be certain a card is hardly reassuring in view of the trench of Brussels on the flexibility.

the interventions of The Maneuver. Just ahead of the writing of the Financial, and in consideration of its essential impact on the planning framework for the 2017, in the hearing of Tuesday evening at the Parliament minister Pier Carlo Padoan has resulted in a synthesis of the interventions in the launch ramp and their macro effects. The list of provisions of the Budget law that allows the government to estimate a growth of 0.4 points higher than what would happen without any new provision. Here they are summarized in the table given by Padoan to the members of parliament:


The gross budget measures worth € 24.5 billion and provides coverage for 18.3 billion, with $ 8.5 billion of new revenue to be recovered with the fight against tax evasion, to remodel the Ace (aid to economic growth), and other taxes, and the re-edition of the voluntary disclosure.

The voice of measures to support the growth should be primarily the off clasuole safeguard, which are 15.1 billion in 2017 (without prejudice to their stand for about 20 billion a year in subsequent years): port 0.3 points of greatest growth, according to the government. The package competitive (tax credit, superammortamenti) is worth 0.1 points of Gdp and costs a little less than 350 million this year, one for the development (public investment, refinancing Sabatini, bonus renovations and interventions of anti-seismic) costs 3.8 billion and port 0.2 percentage points of Gdp. According to the mirror Padoan, the measures for pension, the support of families and the renewal of the contracts of the Pa can bring another 0.1 points of the Product, at a cost of 3.1 billion for this year. Between the variables “recessive” to the Gdp, instead, you see the spending cuts for 2.6 billion (0.2 points), and the new tax revenue (by 0.1 points). By subtracting these points to the previous, augmentatives, you get that +0.4 points of deviation between the trend and the programmatic, that has not convinced the Upb.

Def, the recommendations of the Parliament. In the passage in the Finance committee in the Senate, the senators attached to their favourable opinion on the request of vigliare on the banks and on the reversal of costs related to the rescue of some institutions about account holders. With regards to the deactivation of the safeguard clauses, which weighs in at more than 15 billion in 2017, ask then to proceed with a “tax expenditure “targeted”.

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