Tuesday, January 6, 2015

Petroleum and Greece agitate markets, fails the rebound – The Republic

Petroleum and Greece agitate markets, fails the rebound – The Republic

MILAN – Oil continues to shake the markets, veterans from the thud of Monday, linked to the decline in crude oil prices and the election campaign in Greece, where Alexis Tsipras is confirmed in the polls and in the spreads the fear of having to again sit at a table to renegotiate the terms of the debt of Athens.

The Asian markets have experienced the worst decline in the last seven weeks, in the wake of European stocks and Wall Street. Those of the Old Continent have tried to catch up, but at the end of the day was the weakness to win. Milan , with the retracing of Wall Street after an opening hopeful, deflates the final and yields 0.25%. They highlight Fca and Enel. Just moved the other lists EU, with only Frankfurt capable of strengthening the + 1.2%, London rising 0.3% and Paris rising 0.55%. Continue the backlash of Athens , down by more than five percentage points. The message to the electorate greek, after rumors of Der Spiegel on the possibility that Berlin ‘accept’ an exit from the euro in Athens, is therefore well-marked clearly on the German side and the markets. Wall Street , a veteran of the worst seat of the last three months, advancing uncertain: the Dow Jones gives 0.1%, in line with the Nasdaq, while the S & amp; P 500 scored a progress of 0.1%.

In the last session, it was mainly the titles of the energy to make the cost of a barrel of WTI below $ 50 a share, in the middle of an uproar of the markets that has already led, this year, to erode one trillion dollars of value to actions on the global markets. “The 2015 came just three trading days and already two big themes were indicated as influential are making news: l ‘ excess stocks of raw materials and the Eurozone, “he says in an email to customers, which gives an account of Bloomberg Evan Lucas , strategist at Melbourne to Ig Ltd. “It ‘difficult that the fundamentals of the oil change in the first half of this year, in the coming months will continue the phase bear (a bear, that of declines, ed ) “for crude.

It does not stop, in fact, the drop in prices of the oil : WTI for February delivery has updated the minimum by the end of April 2009 then treat under $ 49 at the close of European markets. Same movement for Brent, with the same delivery that has plummeted to $ 51.2 per share then stationed at 52. L ‘ risce to close above 1.19 against the dollar, to share 1.1922. During the day, the single currency has updated the lowest since February 27, 2006, for a moment touching 1.1884. Along with the decline in crude oil, the devaluation of the euro is a boost to the real economy.

It widens the spread between BTP and Bund, which rises to 140 basis points the ten-year Italian bond yield rising to 1.85%. On the bond will continue to look to the board of the ECB’s January 22, where you may have about starting a new quantitative easing , the purchase of securities of State also to fight deflation. Now, the picture greek, with the election of there in three days, complicates the puzzle Mario Draghi : you, the idea that the Eurotower aspects urns Athenians to understand how to move. Meanwhile, the government bonds of countries as strong as the US, Germany, Australia or Japan continue to show declines in yields. The Treasury, for example, see the returns fall below 2% for the first time since October. Even the ‘ Gold , a safe haven for excellence, we can appreciate: the ingot spot, when ending the trading day in Europe, is trading at $ 1,207.

On the macroeconomic front (agenda) data is recorded on the indexes SMEs , anticipating the economic, service sector and composites. In Italy , drops the figure for the service sector: 49.4 points in December from the previous 51.8. A decisive decline, because going below 50 points the index indicates the entrance into a recession of the tertiary sector. The France instead recorded the highest growth of nine months for services (50.6 points) and eight months for the given composite (49.7 points). In Germany , the service sector is stable at 52.1 points, thus expanding. The composite index of ‘ Eurozone scores 51.4 points, compared to a flash estimate of 51.7 points and 51.1 points in November. The average value of reading the entire last quarter to 51.5 was the worst since the third quarter of 2013. Conflicting data in the Use : orders for the industry down b y 0.7% in November, line with expectations, while the ISM services index disappoints at 56.2 points.

In the morning, the Asian markets were all heavily penalized: a Tokyo the Nikkei index closed down 3.02% losing 525.52 points to 16883.19 and returning to the values ​​of last December 17. The broader Topix index ended the session at -2.85%, leaving behind 39.95 points to 1361.14 share. Sitting very active, with 2.69 billion shares traded, which has also affected the appreciation of the yen against the dollar and the euro, favorta by risk-averse investors. Down the other Asian markets: Taiwan has lost 2.43%, Seoul 1.74% and Sydney 1 , 57%. Has limited the damage Shanghai (-0.11%). Good news came from China, where the index of the services PMI rose to 53.4 points in December from 53 in November, marking the highest growth in the last three months. The composite index, which includes both the manufacturing and the services, has led to 51.4 points from 51.1 in the previ ous month (above 50 points means economic expansion).

Arguments:
European shares
Asian stocks
Wall Street
2015 elections Greece
Milan Stock
gold
Oil
dollar
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