Best Italia Economy Portal: ECB warning: “The economic recovery is losing momentum. Target Budget …

ECB warning: "The economic recovery is losing momentum. Target Budget … – The Press

Alarm Central Bank: “The economic recovery is losing momentum. Target budget at risk, Italy consolidates accounts “

Posted on September monthly bulletin: “Third quarter to modest growth in Europe.” And about Italy: the government could not achieve the goal of 2.6% of GDP

Mario Draghi, governor of the Central Bank

09/11/2014

The target budget of the Italian government are at risk. The warning is the European Central Bank. “It confirms the risks on the achievement by the target of deficit compared to GDP in 2014, estimated at 2.6%, especially in light of an economic situation worse than expected,” wrote the Eurotower in the Monthly Bulletin of September, explaining that in the future, “it is important that Italy will further strengthen the position of fiscal policy in order to comply with the rules of the Stability and Growth Pact, in particular with regard to the reduction in the government debt / GDP ratio.”

But the situation in the whole of Europe, is not rosy. After four quarters of moderate growth, the real GDP of the Eurozone remained unchanged in the second quarter of this year, “although in part this reflects special factors, however the result was worse than expected.” As for the third quarter, “the survey data available through August indicate a cyclical slowdown in momentum, while remaining coherent with that of a modest expansion.” Domestic demand is expected to continue to benefit from the choice of monetary policy measures put in place, the improvement in financial conditions, progress in fiscal consolidation and tax reform, and the fall in energy prices that supports real incomes. ” In addition, demand for exports “should find support in the global recovery.”

However, the ECB noted, “the recovery will continue to be limited by the high level of unemployment, from the large volume of unused capacity, changes in the increasingly negative in loans to the private sector and the necessary adjustments of financial statements conducted by the public sector and the private sector. ” The main risks to this scenario “continue to be a possible worsening.”

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