Istat: in February returns deflation, prices down by 0.3% – ANSA.it

After nine months back deflation in Italy in February with “widespread price declines in almost all product types”. Istat noted, in the provisional data, a decrease in consumer prices by 0.3% on an annual basis, the largest in over a year (January 2015), and a 0.2% reduction even on a monthly basis. The previous month there had been a rise in prices by 0.3% on the year and a decline of 0.2% on the month.

The prices of so-called shopping basket of food commodities , for the care of the house and of the person decreased by 0.1% compared to January and by 0.4% year on year (in January was + 0.3%). This was communicated by Istat. This is the first downward trend since December 2014 and the broader from July of the same year. In particular for food products (including alcoholic beverages) prices decreased by 0.1% on a monthly basis and record on a yearly basis, a reversal of the trend (-0.3%, from + 0.4% in January ).

EU-19: Eurozone back into deflation, -0.2% in February – The Eurozone inflation returned to negative territory in February, falling to -0 , 2% compared to 0.3% in January. And ‘the flash estimate of Eurostat. The last minus Eurozone was seen to September 2015 (-0.1%). Looking at the main components, the services have the highest rate (1%, while in January they were 1.2%), followed by food, alcohol and tobacco (0.7% in January were at 1%), industrial products non-energy (0.3%, compared to 0.7% in January) and energy (down 8%, compared to -5.4% in January).

consumers Union, from cart cost savings 54 € – the fall in prices shopping cart, according to the national Union estimates consumers, allowing a couple with two children to save, in terms of lower cost of living, 54 euro on the basis yearly. For a couple with a child the benefit is 50 Euros, for a couple with no children under 35 years will be 40 Euros, for a singlo under 35 years of 29 Euros and a retiree over 65 years of 27 euro. “Italy is back in deflation. This figure shows that the application is not taken off and the crisis is far from over. Other than consumer recovery!” said the secretary of the National Consumers Union, Massimiliano Dona. “The causes of this deflation – he added – that the families still struggling, should worry the Italian government and the European Union, and not just Mario Draghi. There are not enough monetary policies to boost demand, but also fiscal policies worthy of note. “

Confcommercio, to falling prices until the summer -” Without an unlikely and abrupt reversal, hardly will return before next summer to positive rates of change consumer prices on an annual basis and, therefore, have become difficult to assume inflation for 2016 around half a percentage point. ” This is the comment of Confcommercio Studies Office, the latest ISTAT figures. “The return of the change in prices in negative territory – stated in the research department – as expected, has assumed dimensions slightly greater than those assumed. The downward trend in prices, common to all European economies by virtue of sensitive drops recorded by energy raw materials, in Italy was marked by the increase of agricultural products offer “. “It remains moderate – continues Confcommercio – therefore, the risk deflation, as the downward trend in prices has limited reasons, while for the majority of goods and consumer services, from clothing, to furniture, sevices recreation, receptive and catering, prices remain moderate growth (between 0.4 and 1.3%). “

Codacons, bad signal deflation, shock therapy now -” The return to deflation is a bad signal for the country for the national economy “. This was stated Codacons, commenting the ISTAT figures who see in February, a decrease in consumer prices by 0.3% on an annual basis. “A very bad news that deflation because it is the most obvious symptom that something is not working in Italy and that the long-awaited economic recovery sluggish,” says the president Carlo Rienzi who believes “more urgent than ever a shock therapy that pushes the consumption and promote purchases and domestic demand, as well as to call into how the economy and lead to a resumption of retail price lists. “

Confesercenti, by cold shower prices, now cut personal income tax – “the inflation data in February is a cold shower, although not entirely unexpected: as we have repeatedly pointed out, in fact, the last quarter of 2015, the recovery in consumption has begun to slow.” So Confesercenti on the latest ISTAT figures. “The fall in prices in February, then, even if influenced by energy, confirms that the domestic market is still in a difficult phase”, affected the association. “We need a courageous intervention, which gives a bit ‘of oxygen to the families and aid the re-start of the expenditure. The Irpef cutting project, if confirmed, would certainly be the main way to go as soon as possible for report to the availability of income and trust between Italian families “, concludes.

Federdistribuzione, data from -” the February inflation figures are extremely alarming and are the thermometer of a country in which the weakness of domestic demand, in addition to not being able to sustain the recovery, it is not even able to avert the danger deflation. ” This was stated by the president of Federdistribuzione Giovanni Cobolli Gigli. “The families, whose purchasing power is growing, remains a favored savings instead of consumption, despite the purchases are increasingly affordable. A vicious circle is created because people lack security about the future,” according Cobolli Gigli, and that “must be broken.” “The only way – concludes the president of Federdistribuzione – is to give a positive outlook to households and businesses, through the implementation of institutional reforms, fiscal and economic, for example, restoring the true content of the Bill on competition, these days again under discussion in Parliament, thus overcoming the shared feeling that you want to stop the process of liberalization of the economy. “

Google, denies pm evaded taxes of 98 million taxable – The Messenger

The Milan prosecutor’s office has pulled the investigation row today regarding Google, the world of information technology giant, accused, according to the calculations of the Tax Unit of the Guardia di Finanza, the Italian tax authorities embezzling, between 2009 and 2013 taxable income for about 227 million euro, thanks to an elusive scheme involving a number of companies located in Ireland, the Netherlands and Bermuda. The prosecutor Isidoro Palma, owner of the investigation, has closed the investigation, in view of the indictment of five managers, all foreigners (two Irish, one English, the Mountain View team an American and a Taiwanese citizen) , to which, however, was able to challenge, as a criminal act, only one non-payment of IRES, the tax on corporate income, on a taxable income of 98.2 million euro.

disputing this, it is therefore much lower than that emerged from ascertainment tax of yellow flame. The charge is non-payment of taxes by creating “a stable occult organization” based in Italy but made appear as Irish. therefore risk the process John Thomas Herlihy, Graham Law, Aubyn Ronan Harris, John Kent Walker Jr. and Daniel Lawrence Martinelli, all ‘transition through the boards of directors of both companies at the center of the investigation, Google Italy and Google Ireland, where they have served as the legal representative or the president, with the responsibility of signing the financial statements. The power of attorney, in the act notified this morning, has reconstructed the scheme that would use Google Italy to lower its tax burden: the Italian company, should figure despite having a preparatory and auxiliary task of commercial real, actually he had a role operational and, therefore, would have concluded contracts for the sale of advertising space on the web.

But, instead of invoice them as Google Italy, were recorded by the subsidiary based in Dublin. In this way they were produced in Italy revenues to 1.19 billion Euros between 2009 and 2013. Of these, 656 million euro were then shot, by way of royalties, the Google Netherland Hodings, a Dutch company ” no employees and organizational structure “that poured them almost entirely to a third company, Google Ireland Holdings (different from that investigated),” company incorporated in Ireland but tax resident “in Bermuda, known tax haven. The criminal investigation figures, however, are different from those found by the Guardia di Finanza. Act signed by prosecutor Palma, in fact, refers to 98.2 million euro of taxable IRES (tax on business income) not declared during that five-year period, and not to the 227 million of yellow flame. An amount which would result in a tax evasion of around 27 million euro if the effective tax rate to be paid was equal to the theoretical rate of 27.5 percent.

The GDF had included in its calculations the amounts which would have been withheld at the level of the Irap and never paid by the Italian branch as an advance on royalties, which are not returned in the criminal complaint but that will only be the subject of any negotiations with the Inland revenue. Italy disputed the figures are much lower than those charged to the giant in France, where the tax authorities across the Alps would ask the subsidiary based in Paris 1,6 billion euro.

Italian into deflation in February, is complicated debt down – Reuters Italy

Elvira Pollina and Antonella Cinelli

MILAN / ROME (Reuters) – Italy is no exception to the rest of the euro area and slips into deflation in February, further complicating the lowering of public debt path that should start this year, aim of which already bears a potential for growth that is proving to be less bright of what is put into account by the government.

According to provisional figures released by Istat, on an annual basis the ‘ national consumer price index contracted by 0.3% yoY from + 0.3% in January, compared to expectations for no change. The inflation for 2016 is 0.6%.

also negative in the harmonized index to European parameters, which drops to -0.2% to + 0.4%, to the front, even in this case, a variation of waits for nothing.

As noted by the President of the European central Bank Mario Draghi, following the sharp decline in crude oil prices and the deterioration global growth prospects, even in the euro zone consumer price index slipped into negative territory.

For February Eurostat has certified a decline of 0.2% after + 0.3% in January, reinforcing expectations for the launch of new Muzzles from Frankfurt to avert a deflationary drift.

Returning to the Italian data, Istat stresses that the strong downward trend in consumer prices is the result of a monthly trend characterized by widespread declines in all types of products.

The scenario in which the government has to deal is therefore less reassuring than expected since the last update of the macroeconomic framework included in the law of Stability.

There is assumed a GDP growth of 1.6% in terms real and of 2.6% in nominal terms, ie it is considering inflation, which would lead to a reduction of the debt to 131.4% from 132.8 in 2015. Continue. ..

The Big Chill returns of Italy and Europe: it is deflation – The Republic

MILAN – Italy and Europe back into deflation in February, making new mount pressure on the shoulders of Mario Draghi: The European Central Bank meet on March 10 to the light of these data – although preliminary – that show how the Old continent is moving away from the objective of the ECB to bring prices closer to + 2%. The directions of February, however, are very different. According to Istat, after nine months Italy is back in deflation with a price variation of -0.2% MoM and -0.3% YoY. The beautiful country shares the fate of the Eurozone: according to Eurostat’s flash estimate, the inflation rate in the region with the single currency is down 0.2% monthly in February, compared to + 0.3% in January, and of -0.3% per year.

the problem of deflation. in a deflationary situation, the money acquires value: in a nutshell what yesterday you could buy with a euro becomes affordable for a few cents less. For the portfolio of citizens could be good news. But not so for economists. First upstream means that the economy is stagnating. Looking ahead even less: consumers tend to postpone purchases, trusting in further downward price. A confirmation of this trend came from recent data Unimpresa, according to which the reserves deposited by the Italian bank were up a sign that money does not turn into consumption, but savings. Shops and businesses fail as well to dispose of the stocks in the warehouse, slowing production. The only condition to be sold on the market becomes then apply a discount, with the spiral effect of bringing down prices even more, reduce their earnings and reliance that of their workers. Thus the wages stop and they will freeze around the engine of the economy. If then you are highly indebted, as with Italy, the picture is tinged more black: the debt becomes heavier and its reimbursement more complicated.

Prices of February . Much of the slowdown in prices seen recently is due to the collapse in energy prices, with crude which is the minimum for 12 years because of excess production and falling demand. But it is not only the black gold to explain this situation. In its preliminary data, Istat stresses that the “strong” annual decline in February prices is explained by an “economic momentum characterized by the widespread price declines in almost all types of products, which compares with the positive of February 2015 when, in fact, all types of products marked a recovery in prices from the previous month. ” Among the other items falling, Coldiretti reports the 11% of the vegetable prices “which is causing devastating effects in the countryside.” Excluding unprocessed food and energy prices, the so-called core inflation is positive yes (+ 0.5%), but low and slower than the + 0.8% in January.

Other two important baskets for everyday life of the people are now in the red. The “shopping cart”, that is, food prices, for the care of the house and of the person, decreased by 0.1% compared to January and by 0.4% year on year (in January was + 0.3%) . Also decreased the prices of high-frequency products purchase, -0.3% monthly and -0.8% on an annual basis (+ 0.1% in January).

Eurostat and the challenges of Dragons data. As mentioned, even at the level of the euro area it traces the same Italian dynamics. Eurostat certifies a rate of -0.2% in February, compared to + 0.3% in January and + 0.2% in December. The last negative dated back to September of 2015. The figure makes it more likely a new intervention of monetary expansion by the ECB: in Frankfurt expects the updated macroeconomic estimates by the economists of the Eurotower staff. The problem of the governor is that the rate lever has already been extensively activated, bringing the cost of borrowing at historic lows, and for the first time the rate on deposits in negative territory: it means that banks have to pay an implicit tax on the money you parked at the ECB, so that the “invites” to put it into circulation. To this was added the purchasing plan of government bonds by 60 billion per month, which proved equally insufficient to give a real boost to prices. That’s why now everyone expects even more, with new purchases on the launching pad, but they are all aware that monetary policy alone will not be able to dent the problem of deflation.

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The new cut of the Renzi government taxes – next

Increase in VAT frozen for three years , IRES cut 4 points without exceeding the 3% deficit limit : this is the program of the new tax cut at the Renzi government to stimulate growth. the prime minister is ready to bring the issue of a tax cut in 2017 on the board of the PES leaders, ahead of the EU Council of 17. Domestically you work for a Irpef cut already fixed for 2018 which will hopefully bring forward . To do this, you need to touch the 3% in the ratio of deficit to GDP. To study the reduction of 6 points in the tax wedge, with an impact on future pensions to be assessed.

The new cut of the Renzi government taxes

The Prime Minister is ready to bring the issue to Brussels for a coordinated intervention and not block tax cut, to be set in 2016 and be operational by next year . This will be discussed on March 12 in Paris at the PES leaders, the European Socialist Party, in view of the EU Council of 17. Meanwhile Palazzo Chigi and the Italian Ministry of Economics work plan, aiming to accelerate the tax relief (the pressure of the income tax is still high, above 43%). The Irpef cut is set for 2018 but could be brought forward to 2017. As cover everything? Valentina Count of Republic tells us that spending is obviously in deficit :

Meanwhile, a flexibility in the accounts which allows , for example, touch the 3% in the ratio of deficit to GDP in 2017, now estimated at 1.1%. Each additional decimal place is worth a billion and 600 million. So get by assumption to 2.9% means freeing as many as 29 billion. “Now it is early to say,” Morando brakes. But “it is already decided that from January 1 of 2017 triggered a reduction of four points the IRES”, the corporate tax. Unlikely that this cut “will be brought forward to 2016″. At the moment, therefore, it remains the cut IRES next year and the personal income tax in 2018, as per schedule. But it does not rule out anything, even merge the two measures would be very expensive. Especially if we consider the 15 billion potential increases in VAT has always ward for 2017 (the safeguard clause). That’s why the government thinks well on reducing the tax wedge on labor and on the company.

the idea of ​​the contribution wedge reduction (La Repubblica, February 29, 2016)

another plan, always explains the newspaper of Calabresi, is instead cut into six points the wedge of new hires, three dependent points of employer and three employee forever. There are two ways to implement it: through the personal income tax, lower rates; or by cutting social security contributions, ie provisions for retirement . The cut worth 125 Euros a month and about 1500 euro per year , but in case that half is diverted to the pension funds to make up the missed social security contributions in his pocket to the worker would remain 43 euro.

the deal may be worth about 6 billion over three years (mid-2015 work bonus). But these contributions are not compensated in less INPS by the State, as it usually does to any relief at work. On the contrary, they represent a sharp cut on future pensions: less contributions, salary a little ‘richer, but poorer check in the future. That’s why the Nannicini proposal also provides for an option: the possibility for the worker to pay his three points in less than contributions to the supplementary pension, rather than land them in payroll (where among other things would be affected Irpef).

security rincarata but right from the Renzi government that brought the taxation of pension funds from 11.5% to 20%. be why, six months from the idea, now the undersecretary brakes: “It’s a challenge, but we have to figure out how to cost less than the open-ended in terms of contributions, without adversely affecting pension expectations of workers.” On the other hand the advantage pay in envelopes, for both the employer and the employee, there would be phenomenal. Nothing compared with the current generous tax relief, however, all funded from exchequer, therefore in deficit (thanks to European flexibility).

The fees and expenses

for years, the state budget is a safeguard clause, inserted to appease the EU, which provides a permanent increase in VAT. So far the government has managed to neutralize it year by year finding temporary resources. This time, the government aims to freeze rates for at least three years, from 2017 to 2019. The VAT increase would cost 15 billion a year to consumers. Mario Sensini in the Corriere della Sera interview Enrico Morando:

How to find the covers? Even depress growth cuts …
“Especially those to investment spending. We are aware of it and we take into account, but not give up the objective of the spending review. And there are a few new things that will help us a lot. Meanwhile, the public administration reform. It is expected that many of his decrees involve savings, which will now be finally quantified. Payments which we can use as covers of other expenses in the second or third year of implementation of each small piece of Madia reform. Then help us reform the Stability Law, which this year will also absorb the budget law.

<'p> Do you plan to use savings or revenue that today can not be counted?
“in order to revise the spending without doubt. The reform will allow us to enter into the budget, and then use the programming of public finance, including the savings that do not derive directly from legislative innovation, but by administrative action resulting. ” An example? “With the reduction from 3000 to 35 of the purchase of the State stations we will also quantify the savings due to greater centralization of operations.”

Better the reductions in contributions or income tax?
“it would be more effective to make a structural reduction in contributions, perhaps at a lower level than that provided for only 2016 would close the maneuvers for the reduction of taxes on labor, would help both households and businesses. There may be scope to anticipate the operation to 2017, provided that the EU is consistent with itself gives Member States of the proposed flexibility. Without breaking through the roof of the 3% “

29 February 2016 Alessandro D’Amato

Taggli to taxes, the income tax reduction concentrated on average earnings – The Messenger

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Cutting early Irpef 2017. Renzi focuses on turning tax – Quotidiano.net

ROME, February 29, 2016 – THE WIND has changed, even by the parties in Brussels. And Renzi has decided to seize the moment, pushing the accelerator on tax cuts. Already in the year-end press conference the prime minister had implied to have in mind something more than IRES cut in 2017. But he had not pulled the rabbit out of the cylinder “so as not to upset Padoan”. The rabbits in reality would be more than one: there is the possibility to anticipate the Irpef cut in 2017 but also that of reducing the contributions on the job. Idea, this, launched by Secretary Thomas Nannicini and that could be picked up by the Prime Minister’s office drawers. “It would – explains who has followed the dossier – to translate the temporary bonus for new employees in a permanent cut in tax-contribution wedge in payroll, to be divided between employee and employer.” Cost: 2.1 billion every point cut. As for the income tax, the aim is to work on the tax rate jumped from 27% (up to 28 thousand euro) to 38% (from 28 thousand to 55 thousand) that penalizes the middle class.

 
TWO ASSUMPTIONS also endorsed by the Deputy Minister of Economy, Enrico Morando, which does not exclude “the early 2017 of initiatives planned for 2018″. Then, he explains, “you sull’Irpef intervene directly or indirectly by reducing the social security burden fiscalizzando charges, we will see when we will be able to concretely envisage the intervention.” “The signals that emerged from the meeting with Juncker are encouraging – says one of the premier advisers – but then you have to see the numbers.” With less robust growth than expected, 18 billion of safeguard clauses to be deleted and the intervention sull’Ires already scheduled, additional room for maneuver can only come from the EU flexibility. The amount will depend on the outcome of the negotiations that the Minister of the Treasury is conducting with the commissioner Pierre Moscovici.

 A price of a small correction this year (2-3 billion) for 2017 is no longer taboo to ask other flexibility. The Government, in Document of Economics and Finance, has set the deficit / GDP ratio in 2017 to 1.1% and the Commission signaled that it is prepared to grant one more 0.2-0.5%. Renzi would take around 2%, using about 15 billion flexibility to cut taxes: the tax package in 2017 would rise to 30 billion. Ideas that have blown up many in the chair. Like the other Deputy Minister of the Treasury: “Anticipating the income tax cut in 2017? Maybe, but I would urge not to repeat the resounding mistake made with the IRES – warns Enrico Zanetti -. The attempted anticipation to 2016 did perceive the cut in 2017 as a half back off while it is a big step forward. ” And, in 2018, raises the “flat tax the middle class”, ie personal income tax rate of only between 30 and 60 thousand euro.

 
ALL agree on the need to cut taxes, a little ‘less of its time. there is who pulls the brake also in the entourage of Renzi: “Let’s wait to figure out how much space we have exactly deficito”. The thaw with Brussels has just iniaziato and “there are still too many moonlight.” Renzi is testing the waters to see if there is space, even political, to accelerate. But the direction is. “The fees will drop,” he repeats to her.

ALESSIA GOZZI

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Taxes: the black economy makes up to 50.2% – btboresette

 

There is a definite relationship between the black economy and the growth of taxes for the Italian taxpayer. It is an economy that knows no crisis. A study of CGIA Mestre reveals the link between the growth of the black-and rising taxes.

If between 2011 and 2013 the underground economy and illegal rose by 4.85 billion, coming to touch 207.3 (2013), 12.9% of GDP), says the Cgia, and net national income of the unobserved economy decreased by 36.8 billion, dropping to below 1.4 trillion, assuming that the percentage of the economy incidence observed in GDP remained the same also in the years 2013/15, the “contribution” that this “gray” economy has given the GDP in 2015 is estimated at almost 211 billion. It has an impact on the taxes we pay, the whole world of the underground economy ends up falling back on that emerged in terms of abnormal tax burden.

“In 2015,” he says Paul Zabeo CGIA, “before the operation Renzi bonus, the official tax burden in Italy was 43.7%. But the overall weight that honest taxpayers bear is actually higher and has come to touch a record level of 50.2%. ” “It is clear that a similar tax burden,” added the secretary Renato Mason, “ will be hard to find the momentum to give breath to the economy in a phase where growth remains very weak and uncertain “. For Mestre artisans association the tax burden is the ratio between the total amount of the levy (taxes, fees, taxes and social security contributions) and gross domestic product (GDP), which refers not only to the wealth produced in a year from regular activities, but also by the “generated” by the informal sector (ie not in good standing with the tax authorities) and illegal ones which consist of a voluntary exchange between economic entities (smuggling, prostitution, drug trafficking).

Government working on a maxi-cut taxes, you can advance income tax decrease – TGCOM

23:00 – “The Irpef cut is fixed for 2018, but may be anticipated.” Word of the Deputy Minister of Economy Enrico Morando, who explains: “I would not exclude that it is possible, if things go a bit ‘in the right direction, anticipate 2017 today initiatives planned for 2018. Now it is still early to tell.” And ‘however already decided, declares that “will start from January 1, 2017 a reduction in the IRES rate of four” points.

If we intervene on installments or otherwise, it see “later, when we will be able to concretely envisage the intervention,” he further explained Morando.

the big tax cut and flexibility – What the maxi-cutting taxes, perhaps precisely to anticipate throughout 2017, is the plan cherished by Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, after having signed the truce with the President of the EU Commission, Jean Claude Juncker. A plan which will be played on all of the flexibility that the executive thread counts of being awarded by Brussels also for next year.

Already in the year-end press conference the prime minister had implied to have in mind a thicker floor of IRES only cut, explaining, however, that it was too premature to go into details, so as not to “upset Padoan”, since in any case the discussion, he said, would be in full swing only “summer of 2016″.

Taddei: “On with the plan already in place, early to tell whether some points will be advanced” – Now that the climate has changed and that in Europe we start talking more growth than austerity, you could then create the conditions to accelerate one of the flagships of Renzi, cutting precisely taxes. But we must move cautiously because, explains the chief economist of the Democratic Party Filippo Taddei, “Now is not the time for decisions.”

Of course there is every incentive “to see how we can speed up a path which in any case is already in place “and sees” a structural reduction of over 23.5 billion has already been implemented “, 10 with 80 euro, 5 of IRAP, about 5 between Tasi, also IMU for agriculture and bolted and 3.3 of IRES, in addition to “another 5 billion interventions for only 2016″ from maxi-depreciation and de-contribution. “

the next intervention, he adds, are those already made public,” the personal income tax for 2018 and what we can do to reduce the cost of permanent employment for all in a structural way. “But” for now to say if and when – he said – is premature “because” first we must see the spaces that are there. “

to cut taxes is necessary for the EU to accept new margins deficit – And with growth less brilliant than you could just wait a few months ago, in fact, Italy by his own forces would not be able to anticipate the tax abatement program, while maintaining the adjustment of accounts towards medium-term process that goal, a balanced budget, already postponed twice. It’s essential to check new margins on the deficit for 2017.

The ratio of net debt to GDP with the Def update note of October was set at 1.1% in 2017, the Commission, informally, he made it known that it was prepared to grant one more 0.2%. The goal of the government would instead take him to at least about 2%, using about 15 billion flexibility to cut taxes.

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Irpef

IRS, Morando: not ruled advance income tax cut to 2017 – Il Sole 24 Ore

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This article was published on February 28, 2016 at 16:12 hours.
the last change is the 28 February 2016 at 16:15.

the Irpef cut is set for 2018 but “would not rule out that it is possible, if things go a bit ‘in the right way, to anticipate initiatives that we plan now for the 2018 to 2017′. So to Affaritaliani.it Economy Deputy Minister Enrico Morando, according to which “now is still early to tell.” Meanwhile, what “has already decided”, he recalls, is that “will start from January of 2017 a reduction of four points the IRES.”

Morando: not ruled advance income tax cut to 2017
Morando has ruled that the reduction of taxes on corporate income “can be brought forward to 2016. So I guess this deadline, that is, the beginning of the reduction in the tax burden sull’Ires, which is attached to January 1, 2017, will remain fixed for 1 January 2017. there are no other cases in the study. ” “The commitment that we have taken – said the deputy minister – is to take action to reduce the tax wedge on labor and on the company, then we must also give the side Irpef a profile that is able to achieve this . Then, you intervene directly sull’Irpef or who intervene indirectly by reducing the social security burden fiscalizzando contributions, we would then we will see when we will be able to concretely envisage the intervention. “

Reforms and debt node
Sunken also by 20 large meeting in Shanghai the commitment to use the lever of budgetary policies to push growth which still languishes, the Economy Minister Pier Carlo Padoan reassured inanato yesterday embarked on the journey from Rome and the results achieved so far. Italy, in fact, “has made much progress on the structural, but much remains to be done” and “it is obvious – said – that the agenda of structural reforms must not stop, either in terms of implementation” of those already approved, “neither of new elements to be added.” With the goal of eliminating the main element of “fragility”, that still “high debt” which, however, reiterated Padoan, in 2016 “will come down.” Of course, the real match for Italy will be played in late spring, when Brussels will say its final word on the law on public accounts and Stability.

The game on flexibility
The “truce” between Rome and Brussels on flexibility signed during the visit of Jean Claude Juncker, the prime minister Matteo Renzi does not mean that all nodes they were dissolved. Especially on the choices that the government would like to do next year, starting with the planning of the promised Irpef cut. The flexibility also for the year ahead is essential for the government, which must commit 15 billion just to defuse the safeguard clauses. But it is yet to be conquered. The government has always been confident that the Commission will approve the deficit margins that Italy has used the maneuver this year, including the clause ‘exceptional events’ destined almost entirely to safety interventions – around one point of GDP flexibility, about 16 billion. But also to gain ground on 2017, a minimum adjustment (in the order of a couple of billion at most), would be called into account and would be manageable without ad hoc interventions, through a ‘treasure’ that could emerge in the folds of the budget, reusing resources allocated to the already approved budget items and not yet fully exploited.

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G20, yes to investment spending when public budgets allow – BBC

on the public investment spending to support growth, if budgets allow. It is one of the conclusions of the G20, as explained Economy Minister Pier Carlo Padoan. The G20 discussed the policies needed to support demand and was open to the idea that “where there is fiscal space that should be used for measures conducive to growth, such as for capital expenditures that support both demand and the growth of medium term, “said Padoan after the Shanghai summit. “The ability to use the fiscal instrument is dependent on the fiscal space, ie from the budget margin that depends from country to country. In Europe and Italy need in my opinion is on the side of stimulus support demand and supply, “he added.
But the final communique of the G20 is very articulate: indicates that there are “growing concerns about the risk of a further downward revision” in global growth prospects. It also considered one of the major risks to the global economy the assumption that it will be the exit of Britain from the EU (Brexit) and the refugee crisis in the Mediterranean.

“Revision of pessimism”

“We are convinced that in this context we will consolidate growth, which continues to be sustained and sustainable,” continued the Minister of Economy, explaining that emerges from a meeting ‘ message of optimism and there is assessment shared availability to act further. ” The Bank of Italy Governor Ignazio Visco said that “at the G20 there was a review of the pessimism that was the beginning.” About Brexit, “is considered an important and negative geopolitical shock,” said Padoan. “The issue of migrants has not been the subject of special discussions in the G20,” he added. As to the discussions on the EU and the euro held, the minister stressed that “we are not in 2012, the issue is not whether Europe will collapse or not. Today, Europe is certainly more stable and is not the main risk factor. “

the final statement: concerns about global growth

the conclusions officers of the financial G20 summit expressed in the final communique indicate however concerns about the global economic recovery, which is “uneven and is below our ambitions for a strong, sustainable and balanced growth. There are growing concerns about the risk of a further downward revision “in global growth prospects. “We agree that we all need to do more to achieve our common goals for global growth,” reads the statement. That is why the G20 will use the levers of monetary policy, fiscal and structural reforms to support growth. And the added effort in the final communiqué of the summit of finance ministers and governors is also not to carry out competitive devaluations and in close cooperation on currency policies. The economic data are better than suggest the volatility of growth, and there is no reason to speak of an economic crisis. However they are also needed ‘short-term measures “to support the economy. He said the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble at the end of the G20 Shanghai.

Weidmann: doubts on ECB policy, are not the panacea

Just on monetary policy, starting with the quantitative easing from the ECB and future steps that the European central bank president Mario Draghi could take in March, the debate is on. The expansionary monetary policy by central banks such as the ECB is “not a panacea” for the global economy, and it is doubtful that it can solve the structural problems, said the president of the Bundesbank Jens Weidmann. Other than the opinion of the governor of the Bank of Italy, Ignazio Visco, according to which, in the launch of stimulus measures, the ECB ‘we arrived at the terminal, our responsibility is to avoid deflationary tendencies “. In response to the fears – especially the northern European countries – on the impact of monetary easing measures, the Bank of Italy governor highlighted that “for now do not see the risks of possible asset bubbles on particular markets.” However, he concluded, to deal with any fallout today “we have the best tools a few years ago,” since “the system is more resistant.”

February 27, 2016 (edited February 28, 2016 | 10:23)

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Shanghai G20, a summit with small solutions – Il Tirreno

 Big problems, big countries, small solutions. The G20 summit in Shanghai was closed yesterday with a new index of the trouble that deluge the economy of the industrialized countries. To those now known – financial instability, the effects of the sharp drop in oil prices and the slowdown in emerging economies – are two new-fangled titles are added: Brexit and refugees. That is the fear of the repercussions of a possible victory of the “yes” to the British referendum on the EU, the poll of June, and predictions about the crisis of refugees have already arrived and arriving in the EU itself.

 

 The two crises, though so different, have a common root. And once again, it is Europe that frightens the world. Compare a humanitarian crisis of enormous proportions, like that of people fleeing the war that we are rejecting the borders of our world, with all the political and institutional event may seem wrong, and even a little ‘cynical. But if the wobbles Union is because he has not and does not find the means to respond in a coordinated and supportive emergency: exactly the same reason why people look to save itself, and the British, from the height of their history, their “specialty” within the Union, and their myths I think even more highly of others.

 

 As you can remember each of us is an illusion to think to stop those who run away from a danger of death or starvation. Yet, one after the other many countries, even those that at first they had opened the door, raise their walls. And Britain try to promote the highest, in the middle of the English Channel. If not for compassion, you could avoid pride of the first world superpower: this is the European Union, at least for aggregates. Divide the emergency and manage it in a coordinated way would be possible. But there are no seats, the institutions, nor the political will to do it. Just as there was the political will to respond with solidarity and coordinated crisis that eight years ago, we come upon us from across the Atlantic.

 

 This new phase is called by someone “ secular stagnation “, from other chronic crises from under-employment; but also without resorting to bleak predictions or textbook definitions, we see it all in the paradox that we are entering a bank not to ask but to deposit: if we bring the money, we are not welcome, that money is more of a burden than anything else. Do not do anything. Nobody wants them, because little investment. We are trapped in the prophesied so many years ago by Keynes, the one for which the economy has fallen into such a deep spiral that the loose monetary policy is not the least effect possible.

 

 They also said the G20, in smoky statement that closed the proceedings: need for growth policies, because the monetary policy. alone is not enough. But who needs them these policies for growth? The countries where “there is fiscal space”: a way to give a shot at the rim (fiscal policies, ie reducing taxes or increasing spending, they serve) and a barrel (but does not have to make the countries that have already in deficit, for example, us). without doing anything to force those countries active on the public budget and trade – primarily Germany, which with its Minister Schaeuble has put his foot in Shanghai against every turn “expansionist” – to turn the page.

 

 So, we are once again waiting rabbit hanging that will pull out of the hat “ SuperMario “, the governor of the ECB, that March 10 will announce the continuation or strengthening of the monetary policy that the German hawks complain that it is too expansionist but, by all accounts, is not enough. A paradox. As is the formula

used by the governor of the Bank of Italy, Ignazio Visco, in commenting on the G20: there was “a revision of pessimism.”
 

 Correct their pessimism it does not mean yet to become optimistic.

 

  * co-director of Pagina99

 

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The G20 calls for more strength in structural reforms – International Business Times Italy

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The “black” in Italy worth 211 billion – The Time

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(…) the research department of Mestre artisans estimated that if between 2011 and 2013, the underground economy and illegal rose by 4.85 billion euro, touching the 207.3 billion euro in 2013 (12.9 percent of GDP), the net of the unobserved economy has fallen 36.8 billion euro, dropping to below 1.4 trillion euro.

If being extremely prudent it is assumed that ‘ percentage of the unobserved economy GDP has remained the same even in the years after 2013, the Mestrini craftsmen estimated at nearly 211 billion euro to the ‘contribution’ that this economy a “gray” has given the country’s GDP in 2015. this aspect, of course, has very important effects on the fiscal front.

“In 2015 – said the research office coordinator Paul Zabeo – before the operation Renzi bonus, the official tax burden in Italy was 43.7 percent, but the overall weight that honest taxpayers bear is actually higher and has come to touch a record level of 50.2 percent. “

the tax burden is the ratio between the total amount of the levy (taxes, fees, taxes and social security contributions) and gross domestic product (GDP), which refers not only to the wealth produced in a year from regular activities, but also by the ‘generated’ from the informal sector (ie not in compliance with the tax authorities) and illegal ones which consist of a voluntary exchange between economic entities (smuggling, prostitution, drug trafficking).

the latest available data refers to 2013, when the economy is not observed amounted to 207.3 billion euro (equal to 12.9 percent of GDP). Assuming prudently than in 2014 and 2015 the incidence of the ‘economy is not observed on the GDP has remained the same, you can update this estimate, and said that its amount in 2015 has touched 211 billion euro.

Thanks to the latter figure, the Cgia measured how much of the GDP is due solely to adjust the economy, given that by its nature the quota produced by the economy does not irregular it produces no revenue. And, in order to have a greater perception of the fiscal effort that they can undergo the Italian taxpayers, it was recalculated the tax burden this, linking tax revenues with GDP ‘lightened’ in part due to undeclared economic and illegal activities ( approximately 211 billion).

Well, this new result, which is the real tax burden, jumped to 50.2 percent. “It is clear that a similar tax burden – said the secretary of Cgia Renato Mason – will be hard to find the momentum to give breath to the economy of the country at a stage where growth remains very weak and uncertain.”

And to confirm those who can be considered risky calculations arrived just yesterday an empirical confirmation. The Guardia di Finanza of Gallarate closed the operation “Escape” seeks recovery of tax evasion. The budget of the Guardia di Finanza is an evasion of tax of more than 30 million Euros, with 120 companies involved and 17 managers reported. patrimonial prevention measures were applied for 5 million and seizure of goods for more than 700 thousand euro. The initial testing was performed against a construction company, which subcontracted their work ‘cascade’ to other businesses fictitious triggering a veritable “domino effect”: this has led to the discovery of false invoices for more than 33 million euro, and therefore to 3 million euro of VAT recovered and the complaint of 11 people.

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Philip Caleri

Confindustria, seven thousand entrepreneurs from the Pope – The Messenger

A packed room. There was all the elite of Italian finance and entrepreneurship, husbands with wives and children in tow, but there were also many employees and collaborators. At 10:30 the great Confindustria family had already invaded the Nervi Hall for a historic event: the audience with Pope Francis. In 106 years of history of Confindustria there had never been a meeting between the world so Plenary of Italian industrialists and a Pontiff.
In seven awaited the Pope’s arrival, scheduled for 12 compounds and trembling. Alert and excited. Curious to see what would he told them this Pope so different from its predecessors, this Pope who in simple terms is always able to grasp the key points of the issues. the thorniest too.

Greeted like a star, between applause and flashes of thousands of phones, Francesco as always hit the mark. The function of the entrepreneur – he said, taking up a passage of the Encyclical Praised be ‘- is “a noble vocation oriented to produce wealth and a better world for all”, but now has to prove even more forcefully its social function. Industrialists must become “builders of a new labor humanism” that is centered on “the dignity, absolute value and unavailable.”

Confindustria wanted to give a title to this meeting, which stands on badges of all present: “Be Together”. The Pope reminds and urges him: “Do not be just a slogan, but a program for the present and the future.” The soil is fertile, sure. At least one cultivated by those present in the hall. The three “greetings” to the Pope (the Confindustria President Giorgio Squinzi, ad Unicredit, Federico Ghizzoni, and chairman of Eni, Emma Marcegaglia) are a demonstration: they speak of “responsibility”, “faith”, “commitment “,” solidarity “,” sustainable development “,” values ​​”. Francis listens and nods. But then when they took the floor it soon becomes clear that will go further. It is an almost utopian world of work that relied on by the Pope. A world that includes the excluded, “the most vulnerable and marginalized, such as the elderly, who may still express resources and energy to an active collaboration but are too often discarded as useless and unproductive. ” Like young “prisoners of insecurity or long periods of unemployment.”

 But Francis utopias we believe, and therefore urges the industry to “bold steps”, indicating that “royal road of justice, which rejects the shortcuts of recommendations and favoritism, and the dangerous deviations of dishonesty and of easy compromise.” In this “altruism horizon” it is part of the most vigorous reminder of the Pope: “You refuse categorically that human dignity is trampled upon in the name of production requirements, which mask myopia individualistic, sad egoism and thirst for profit.” And from the room perhaps most thunderous applause of the entire audience.
         

             Saturday, February 27, 2016, 18:01 – Last Updated: 21:20
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Papa Francesco, historic audience with entrepreneurs – The Nation

Vatican City, February 27, 2016 – For the first time in 106 years of history of Confindustria entrepreneurs meet the pope . About seven thousand entrepreneurs in the Paul VI Hall in the Vatican, they listened to the words of Pope Francis that asked companies to open up to young people and to put man at the center, but not the abstract, but with the real needs and dreams. To open the event the choir Youth Orchestra of Santa Cecilia Conservatory who played music by Mozart.

SQUINZI – The Pope listened to the testimonies of entrepreneurs on the combination of faith and enterprise. The president of Confindustria, Giorgio Squinzi , is the first to speak in front of Pope Francis: “The commitment of business is a valuable asset, an important skill to build on. Today, here, I say, sense of humility and an awareness of our limitations, we have no immediate answers to the great planetary questions, but we have a valuable asset: our engagement and our enterprises. This is important dowry, to build on. ”

Faith and enterprise: a central pairing in a uncertain companies , Squinzi emphasizes: “Your Holiness, you strongly urged us in Evangelii Gaudium reminding us that the financial crisis that we are experiencing makes us forget that at its origin there is a profound anthropological crisis: the denial of the primacy of the human being “. Looking for this new central dimension of man, says Squinzi, “faith, in an uncertain society, is an element of extraordinary importance and vitality and a reference point for those who do not believe, as the enterprise and free enterprise are central components of a society capable of substantive solidarity, to which everyone should appeal. Thank you very much from all of us for listening to us. ”

So the roots of the company lie in the hard work and the right profit, continued the president of Confindustria: “Alessandro Manzoni wrote that God forgives so many things and we know to be men, who make mistakes like everyone . However the many stories, adventures and successes on which our businesses have their deepest roots in hard work and the right profit were built, without which solidarity is a sense empty word. ”

MARCEGAGLIA – Then it happened to Emma Marcegaglia , president of the ‘Eni , which claimed responsibility for the company’s commitment, particularly in Africa , to accompany the development of the country and give access to energy, with many interventions, investing in schools and in training.

The Marcegaglia thanked the Holy Father for this meeting. “Holiness, I greet with emotion and thank you for this meeting on behalf of Eni, which I am honored to chair, the chief executive officer and all employees in the room, which represent our 34,000 people working all over the world. With his encyclical Praised Yes, she indicated the border of the common good for the third millennium: an equitable distribution of resources in respect of creation, through sustainable development. ”

“His teaching – said the president of Eni – encourages us to continue as responsible business which operates in a competitive market where they must not prevail, as she often recalled, short-term individualistic attitudes, but a long-term approach for the common good “. “The ” factory must therefore be the first place where one realizes the creation of economic value, but where are kept alive and grow their values ​​of work, integrity, respect and responsibility towards the person”. “We owe it to our children and to future generations,” he concluded.

POPE FRANCIS – then took the word Pope Francis who immediately invited the audience of entrepreneurs to “strengthen the focus on value that allow a concrete alternative to the consumerist model of profit at all costs”. The values, the Pope explained, “are the backbone of the training projects, to promote the area and the promotion of social relations”.

So companies must put “man at the center : not the abstract, ideal, theoretical, but the concrete, with his dreams, his needs, his hopes and his labors. ” The Pontiff explained. “The focus on concrete person carries a number of important decisions: it means giving to each his own, snatching mothers and fathers of families from the anguish of not being able to give a future or even a present to their children; it means knowing how to direct, but also know how to listen, sharing with humility and trust projects and ideas; means making sure that the work you create another job, the responsibility create other liability, hope creates other hope, especially for the younger generation, who today more than ever need ” .

His Holiness then commented on the slogan “working together” selected by Confindustria for the extraordinary meeting: “All these forces together can make a difference. It means investing in projects that involve subjects that are often forgotten or neglected. Among them, first of all, families, outbreaks of humanity, in which the experience of the work, the sacrifice that powers it and the fruits which they give rise find meaning and value. and, along with families we can not forget the categories most ‘weak and marginalized, such as the elderly, who may still express resources and energy to an active collaboration but are too often discarded as useless and unproductive “.

“The simple proclamation of economic freedom does not prevail on the concrete freedom of man and his rights, that the market is not an absolute, but honors the demands of justice and, ultimately, of the dignity of person”. He asked Pope Francis to entrepreneurs. The Pope recalled that “there is no freedom without justice and no justice without respect for the dignity of each person.” “Your high road is always the Justice, that rejects the shortcuts of recommendations and favoritism, and the dangerous deviations of dishonesty and of easy compromise.”

The companies are opened to young “potential workers” tomorrow. But today they are “prisoners of precariousness – said Bergoglio – or long periods of unemployment, are not consulted by a work request to give them, as well as a fair wage, even the dignity with which to sometimes they feel deprived. ”

Francis, then, dreams of “a company that focuses on the person, the quality of its reports, the truth of his commitment to building a more just world, a truly all the world.” “With this meeting, that represents a first in the history of your Association you have proposed – he concluded the Pope – to confirm a commitment: to help with your work in a more just society and close to needs of ‘ man . you want to reflect together on the ethics of doing business. thank you for your commitment and for all the good you do and you can do. the Lord bless you. and I ask you, please, do not forget to pray for me. “

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The G20 calls for new support for growth: “We will use all the tools” – The Republic

MILAN – Brexit and refugee crisis: are two new fears to take the show on the table Great countries, so that updates the catalog of their concerns about the fragile economic growth, already undermined by the now old bogeys represented China and financial market volatility. For this, the commitment that comes out from the table of the G20 Shanghai at the end of two days of work focuses on the need to do everything possible to support economic growth. From the side of central bankers, still maintain a loose monetary policy; this will be accompanied by the second crutch of budgetary flexibility to conduct back to balanced growth.

Summarizing the work of the two-day meeting, Economy Minister Pier Carlo Padoan said that they discussed the policies needed to support the question and is open to the idea that “where there is fiscal space this is to be used for measures favorable to the growth, for example for investment expenditure which support both demand and the medium-term growth”. In short, a key on which Italy beats long. In the final text, preceded by rumors filtered from an Italian night, the G20 countries say they use “all policy instruments” as possible, including monetary, fiscal and structural, to strengthen economic confidence and “strengthen the recovery”. The top 20 economies of the world will implement all “policies in both individual and collective measures,” the statement said, in light of the fact that global growth is “uneven and below our ambitions.”

on the side of monetary policy, the Bank of Italy governor Ignazio Visco, has indeed remarked that “the measures of the ECB are not at the” end of the line, fueling expectations for the meeting of 10 March in which Mario Draghi is expected to announce a review of the plan purchase of government bonds. But the number one on Via Nazionale has also taken note of the fact that “the message at the end is to downside risks and growth that continues to be very reasonable. The problem is how to maintain it.” In any case, for Visco there is the risk of bubbles in the markets because “the system is stronger.” Always skeptical fellow German Jens Weidmann, who did not miss the opportunity to point out that “the ECB is not a panacea” for all the ills of the global economy.

After your moonlights of price lists and massive outflows of capital from China and emerging markets, the finance ministers of major economies say they agreed “to consult rapidly” and closely on what is happening in the currency markets, launching early alarms on the volatility that can damage the stability economic. Promises also came on the desire to closely monitor the flow of capital in order to anticipate possible shocks, while returns the call not to use competitive currency devaluations (which sounds particularly strong ear of Chinese hosts, although there ‘is no direct reference to issues related to the slowdown of Beijing and the change of the Asian giant’s economic policy).

As mentioned, these financial aspects will add new factors of tension. A possible Brexit (the exit of Britain from the EU as a result of the referendum) is one of the potential shocks that weigh on the global economy, which is recognized – in accordance with the early drafts from Bloomberg – in the final communiqué leaders: it is a victory of the British government, able to deploy so worldwide in favor of a stay in the Union by London. On this point, Padoan stated that “it is considered, if it were to lead – and I very much hope not – at an exit of Britain from the European Union, a shock which we classify under the heading of major geopolitical shock, so negative.” At Brexit, then, there is a crisis of migrants.

In short, there are plenty of points of concern. Only the opening session, on the other hand, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development warned on stopping the global recovery. The OECD’s message to politicians was strongest when it came to emphasize the concern for the break in the reform process than that seen in the 2013-2014 season: in both advanced economies and emerging modernization of States suffered a backlash, last year. Rome, guaranteed Padoan: “Italy has made much progress on the structural but there is still much to do” but “it is obvious that the agenda of structural reforms must not stop, either in terms of implementation or any factors new to add. the debt is high and must be brought down, because a high debt that continues to grow is particularly fragile, “but the Italian debt” will begin to fall, is high but will decline. “

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Pope to Confindustria: Rejected dishonesty – TGCOM

 
 
 

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Video Tgcom24 – Report

February 27, 2016

appeal to about 7 thousand entrepreneurs who attended the hearing in the Paul VI on the occasion of the Jubilee of the industry: “the companies put on the person”

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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15:08 – Appeals for the Pope Francis to representatives of Confindustria , received audience , to take care of young . “Greater attention to potential workers, young people, prisoners of precariousness or unemployment , are not consulted by a work request – said – that gives them, in addition to a salary, even the dignity with which you sometimes feel deprived. ” To entrepreneurs: “ Reject recommendations and favoritism.”

At the heart of every business there must be the man: “Do not the abstract, ideal, theoretical, but the concrete, with his dreams, his needs, his hopes and his labors,” said the Pontiff to about 7 thousand of Confindustria entrepreneurs who have participated in ‘audience in the Paul VI on the occasion of the Jubilee of the industry.

“This attention to the concrete person – he added – has a number of important decisions: it means giving to each his own, snatching mothers and fathers anguish of the family can not give you a future and not even a present to their children; it means knowing how to direct, but also know how to listen, sharing with humility and trust projects and ideas; means making sure that the work you create another job, responsibility create other liability, hope creates other hope, especially for the younger generation, which now have more need than ever. “

audience historical – it is treated to a historic audience Confindustria Vatican. For the first time in 106 years of life of the association, in fact, entrepreneurs were received by Pope.

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The underground economy takes flight: for Cgia worth € 211 billion – TGCOM

 
 
 
 

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Video Tgcom24 – Economy

February 27, 2016

According to the association of Mestre is still grown in the two years, bringing the tax burden from 43.7% to 50.2% real official

10:14 – If the economy has long been in trouble, that relates to operations in black on the contrary, according to CGIA Mestre, no crisis. And in the 2014-2015 two-year period it has arrived, according to conservative estimates of the association, to be worth 211 billion euro. While the real one, in the 2012-2013 period, fell by 36.8 billion, falling to below 1,400.

” In 2015 – He emphasizes the research office coordinator Paul Zabeo – before the operation Renzi bonus, the official tax burden in Italy was 43.7 percent. However, the overall weight that honest taxpayers bear is actually higher and has come to touch a record level of 50.2 percent. “The tax burden is in fact given by the ratio between the total amount of the levy (taxes, fees, taxes and social security contributions) and GDP that refers not only to the wealth produced in a year from regular activity, but also from that generated by submerged and from those illegal activities.

“It ‘clear that a similar tax burden – said the secretary Renato Mason – will be hard to find the momentum to give breath to the economy in a phase where growth remains very weak and uncertain. “

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