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(…) the research department of Mestre artisans estimated that if between 2011 and 2013, the underground economy and illegal rose by 4.85 billion euro, touching the 207.3 billion euro in 2013 (12.9 percent of GDP), the net of the unobserved economy has fallen 36.8 billion euro, dropping to below 1.4 trillion euro.
If being extremely prudent it is assumed that ‘ percentage of the unobserved economy GDP has remained the same even in the years after 2013, the Mestrini craftsmen estimated at nearly 211 billion euro to the ‘contribution’ that this economy a “gray” has given the country’s GDP in 2015. this aspect, of course, has very important effects on the fiscal front.
“In 2015 – said the research office coordinator Paul Zabeo – before the operation Renzi bonus, the official tax burden in Italy was 43.7 percent, but the overall weight that honest taxpayers bear is actually higher and has come to touch a record level of 50.2 percent. “
the tax burden is the ratio between the total amount of the levy (taxes, fees, taxes and social security contributions) and gross domestic product (GDP), which refers not only to the wealth produced in a year from regular activities, but also by the ‘generated’ from the informal sector (ie not in compliance with the tax authorities) and illegal ones which consist of a voluntary exchange between economic entities (smuggling, prostitution, drug trafficking).
the latest available data refers to 2013, when the economy is not observed amounted to 207.3 billion euro (equal to 12.9 percent of GDP). Assuming prudently than in 2014 and 2015 the incidence of the ‘economy is not observed on the GDP has remained the same, you can update this estimate, and said that its amount in 2015 has touched 211 billion euro.
Thanks to the latter figure, the Cgia measured how much of the GDP is due solely to adjust the economy, given that by its nature the quota produced by the economy does not irregular it produces no revenue. And, in order to have a greater perception of the fiscal effort that they can undergo the Italian taxpayers, it was recalculated the tax burden this, linking tax revenues with GDP ‘lightened’ in part due to undeclared economic and illegal activities ( approximately 211 billion).
Well, this new result, which is the real tax burden, jumped to 50.2 percent. “It is clear that a similar tax burden – said the secretary of Cgia Renato Mason – will be hard to find the momentum to give breath to the economy of the country at a stage where growth remains very weak and uncertain.”
And to confirm those who can be considered risky calculations arrived just yesterday an empirical confirmation. The Guardia di Finanza of Gallarate closed the operation “Escape” seeks recovery of tax evasion. The budget of the Guardia di Finanza is an evasion of tax of more than 30 million Euros, with 120 companies involved and 17 managers reported. patrimonial prevention measures were applied for 5 million and seizure of goods for more than 700 thousand euro. The initial testing was performed against a construction company, which subcontracted their work ‘cascade’ to other businesses fictitious triggering a veritable “domino effect”: this has led to the discovery of false invoices for more than 33 million euro, and therefore to 3 million euro of VAT recovered and the complaint of 11 people.
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