MILAN – European stocks are rebounding after the thud of the vigil is ignoring the warning issued by the International Monetary Fund ahead of the G20 tomorrow and the day after in China, is the collapse of Shanghai that has lost more than 6% on concerns the manufacturing industry held. On the other hand, the situation of the former Celestial Empire also worries the Washington economists that the global recovery has weakened and – worse – could derail if the financial turbulence seen recently continue. After yesterday’s recovery, in fact, back to give oil WTI is falling below the threshold of $ 32, while Brent falls below $ 34 per barrel. Of opposite sign on the ‘ gold movements which continues its march upward to $ 1,237 an ounce, demonstrating that in a market confused stage, investors prefer safe assets.
Milan , the Milan Stock Exchange closed up 2.3%, in line with London (+ 2.48%) and Paris (+2 , 24%), while Frankfurt is growing by 1.7%. Reset the gains of the opening, however, Wall Street : at the close of the European markets the Dow Jones rises by 0.1%, the S & amp; P 500 is unchanged, while the Nasdaq yields 0.2% . L ‘ € closed steady at $ 1.1031, while the pound goes back to $ 1.3941 after the minimum seven years touched in recent days as a result of fears of a’ Brexit ‘. The yen moves back to 112.65 and 124.31 euro rate against the dollar after the strong gains of the past few sessions, when risk aversion had prompted investors to take refuge in the Japanese currency. It remains below the threshold of $ 1.40 and still comes down to the 1.3923 Sterling , weakened by the debate on Brexit. The spread is stable in area 135 basis points, while the BTP make 1.5%. Today the Treasure has assigned 6.25 billion Bot semetrali to an even negative rate, but recovered to -0.042%.
From a macroeconomic point of view, the situation remains fluid . If Germany Consumer confidence rose in March to 9.5 points, inflation in January fell by 1% compared to December, but grew by 0.4% compared to 2015 : both the data on the dynamics of prices are lower than expected indicating 0.8% cyclical trend and a rise of 0.5 percent. In short, even in Berlin the expansionary measures of the ECB – that the Bundesbank denies – are not producing the expected effects, putting increasing pressure on Mario Draghi ahead of the next meeting of the European Central Bank on March 10. The day diary records the decline in Italian consumer confidence, while retail sales grow for the first time in four years. Worsens the non-EU trade balance of Italy, with the January deficit to 495 million. At the level of the eurozone, annual inflation in January was revised down to 0.3%; in Spain, in the fourth quarter of 2015, GDP grew by 0.8% and 3.5% of the economic year. Mixed data from the US: orders for durable goods showed a growth above expectations (+ 4.9% in January, biggest increase for a year), while new requests for unemployment benefits were 270 thousand, slightly above the expectations.
Returning to markets this morning after two sessions closed in red, the Tokyo Stock Exchange closed the trading in positive territory, helped by the weakening of the yen in the major currencies and a rise in oil prices Wednesday. At the end of trading, the Nikkei that gathers 225 leading stocks had gained 1.41% (224.55 points), and closed at 16,140, 34 points. As mentioned, however, it has collapsed Shanghai Stock Exchange which fell by 6.14%. To push sales were especially fears of a new tight liquidity. Care also the latest results of the manufacturing sector, which in the early projections touch new lows in February.
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