Sunday, April 24, 2016

CGIL, slow recovery: back to crack the confidence of households and businesses – Rai News




GDP, employment, consumption, all parameters in the middle of a concern that seems destined for now not to fade: to suffer and thus to fear more for the future, especially the low-income population, employees, temporary workers, the unemployed and pensioners

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the economic situation remains difficult, worsens the climate of confidence and the recovery is too slow, almost motionless, to restore launch the economy. To record the perception of firms and households on a more negative moment is the investigation of the CGIL Di Vittorio Foundation in collaboration with Tecne for the first quarter of 2016.

GDP, employment, consumption, all parameters in the middle of a concern that It looks set for now not to fade: to suffer and thus to fear more for the future, especially the low-income population, employees, temporary workers, the unemployed and pensioners. They are the ones, as stated in the Report, to feed the growing share, now at 30%, of those who judge their economic situation worsened, compared with 6% of those who have improved and 64% of those who say that remains unchanged.

But even companies are not immune from the pessimism despite the growth recorded in the previous 3 quarters: the index of business confidence is still notes the CGIL, a decrease of 3 points in the first quarter compared to last year of 2015. But it is employment that are pinned fears more, overall: after the optimism of last year, in fact, now the fears are related “to the end of the tax relief of 2015.

Sale of 1 point, in fact, CGIL records the document, the index for employment expectations of businesses, just above the base line (51) but only 9% of companies plan an increase in jobs work, 1% less than expectations recorded in the previous quarter. Even among families confidence worsens: unchanged the share of those expecting a change (36%), but decreased those awaiting an increase
employment (from 33% to 30%) and simultaneously were up families who fear a decline (from 30% to 33%).

the trend detected, explains the CGIL, is so down the index to 47/100 from 49 in Q4 2015. the same trend among employees, temporary workers, the unemployed and pensioners. For the 25% of the sample employment will return to growing but for 40% (37% last year) diminuirà.Un framework, one outlined by the survey CGIL, which is also reflected in the data on expectations of a possible improvement the overall economy in the short term by companies and families.

it decreases by 3% the share of firms, in fact, estimated that an improvement in the next 12 months, but a 2% decrease, however, the number of those who fear a worsening while rising by 5 percentage points, 64-69% in the first quarter of 2016, the companies that provide a stationary situation. Among the families, however, down by 2% the proportion of those who value a better economic situation in the short term while among employees and temporary workers, the percentage of those who see, it’s up 19% black from here to April 2017. Decreases by 1%, the number of those who think that we can get worse.

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