MILAN – Hours 15:35. The global lists raking data on US gross domestic product, which confirm the expansion of the first economy in the world at a pace slightly below expectations: the revised figure for the first quarter comes to a + 0.8%, better than +0, 5% of the first reading, and just below the + 0.9% indicated the eve by analysts. The US economy was recovering from a + 1.4% in the fourth and final quarter of last year, a sign that – despite the upward revision – there was a slowdown, due to consumption and business investment. But the orientation of the Anglo-Saxon observers is positive, not least because the latest macro data suggest an acceleration in subsequent quarters. Says it hot Vincenzo Longo Ig Markets: “ Stakeholders are already appreciating the brilliant macro figures released in recent weeks, so that GDP growth could suffer a sharp shock in the second quarter. According to estimates by the Federal Reserve Atlanta, acquired growth with these early April data should be 2.9%. “
it is information that guide the mood on Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, engaged in difficle choice raise or not to raise the cost of borrowing, thus following the gradual monetary tightening initiated last December after eight years of ultra-expansionary policy. This evening, the Fed chairman, Janet Yellen , will deliver a speech at Harvard, from which investors awaited clues on moves the June meeting: the feeling is that in the summer, maybe after the referendum on Brexit ( then in July), the rates can move.
in addition to the Product Use, international attention has been magnetized by the G7 summit in Japan, which closed today and took note of the fact that ” global growth remains subdued and below the potential, while risks still remain weak economic dynamics “, then pointing out that” global growth is an urgent priority. ” The final declaration is centered the expectations of the markets when it supports the need to use all the tools – monetary, fiscal and structural – to support the recovery, although with the usual measured tones and certainly not full of practical recipes; But it was the lure which looked, for example, the Aberdeen economists in the report of the summit’s eve. Repeated, then, the reference to Brexit risk, with a unified condemnation as “new great risk” that hangs on the world dell’econonomia head.
As a corollary of these commitments, both China and Japan have launched signals that supported the mood of the markets: Beijing has made it known to have fiscal space to further support domestic growth, while Tokyo has put on the agenda postponing the raising of VAT from 8 to 10%, that in the coming months it could depress consumption. If oil then took a break in the recent path of consolidation, the dollar has given signs of stabilization.
If you also consider the agreement reached on Greece within the Eurogroup, the last eight have They went dissolving those nodes that weighed on the price lists and not by chance that the markets have recovered the losses of the first part of the month. European stocks, however, treat cautious, with Milan that yields 0.3%. Shortly move the other EU Squares: London yields 0.15%, Frankfurt is on equality and Paris yields 0.3%. To signal the operation Creval, which sold 2% Holding Soul on the market for a value of 33 million. Unicredit has instead cashed the ok of the European authorities for a joint venture between the asset management subsidiary, Pioneer, with Santander. Opening cautious upside Wall Street , with indexes aligned with the + 0.1%. In the morning, the Tokyo Stock Exchange has taken advantage of the weakening of the yen to close in rise of 0.37%.
The change euro-dollar it is stable to below 1.12, with the currency of the old continent that changes 1,117 greenbacks. The spread between BTP and German Bund is down slightly to 122 basis points. The Treasury has grossed a new record on the Bot six months , which in an auction of 6 billion have touched a record low with a negative return patri at -0.262%, nine basis points less than in previous placement. Sustained demand, with over 9.75 billion euro on the side of the request against an offered amount and precisely assigned 6 billion.
Rich macroeconomic agenda: Istat traces the decline in confidence Italian consumers in May, while in the recovery of enterprises. France had already emerged the index rising consumer, to 98 points against the 94 of April. In Japan, meanwhile, in April, consumer prices were back down, down, excluding perishables, by 0.3% a year.
As mentioned, the oil is falling after the recent rally: on the electronic circuit futures on Light crude 62 cents to $ 48.86 and Brent decline by 81 cents to $ 48.78. Gold slight in Asian markets at $ 1,221.62 showing an increase of 0.15%.
No comments:
Post a Comment