Taking advantage of the anniversary of 90 years of Istat, President George Breed, presented this morning the report of the Institute of statistics in 2016, had an easy game to show the enormous changes that have made of ‘ Italy the country is. With its strength and its weaknesses. He did this using a new chapter of the report, dedicated to the five generations that have lived from 1926 to today: from the “reconstruction & gt; (1926-45) to ‘Networks’, concerning those born from 1996 onwards. In between, the generation of “baby boomers” (1946-65), that of “transition” (1966-80) and that of “Millennials” (1981-95). We have come a long way.
Italy before a crossroad
Just follow the story of three women type – Maria, Anna and Francesca – imagined by Breed to synthesize what is success. Maria turns 90 today, far surpassing its life expectancy at birth, which was 52 years. It is not alone, because 24% of women born in 1926 are still alive. Maria has the fifth grade, she married at age 24, has made the home and had three children. Now is a widow and lives with her daughter Anna, 64, who has just retired. Anna, who until recently was working, had to take a Ukrainian immigrant service, once in charge of the house and now also of Mary. Also because Anna, in turn, will have to take care of his granddaughter, daughter Francesca, one of his two daughters. Who just turned 40, he is being separated and makes the researcher with a fixed-term contract. From this overview of example, as well as by many of the ratio steps, emerges as this long road accomplished has arrived at a crossroads. Italy must essentially choose whether to bet again on your future or on itself.
growing Funds lower than in the past
the signs of optimism and pessimism alternate in the 285 pages of the report. We are finally coming out of the toughest economic crisis that Istat has ever seen. But the recovery is “low intensity”. This year the gross domestic product will grow by 1.1%. Too little to make up the ground lost in the crisis began in late 2007. “Compared to previous episodes of cyclical expansion – underlines Raise – the economic recovery appears to be characterized by increased brittleness: observing sectoral developments in industrial production, the number of sub-funds growth is lower than in the past. ” It hits the researchers the strong increase in imports that go to meet in part the increase in domestic demand, especially consumer goods. What if they were purchased on the domestic market, would raise GDP by three tenths of a point. A failure to supply that could be due, noted the president of Istat, in “a reduction of production capacity in the country resulting from the recession.”
The ongoing job search (including abroad)
It also employment trends, positive in 2015, thanks to de-contribution and the Jobs act, seems far away, when seen in a statistical light, results from authorizing triumphalism. Last year the employed increased by 186 thousand, or 0.8%. The posts for an indefinite period of 102 thousand. All in a context where Italy remains a country with much lower employment rates of European competitors, and so also for the education rates. Moreover, the report says, if you graduate agrees, because the 72% find employment within three years and why graduates live longer, it is also true that convenience (wages, for example) is not as strong as abroad. It’s no wonder that many young graduates emigrate. Comforting that in 2015 has stopped the fall of youth employment, but the employment rate in the age group 15-34 years is only 39.2%, “more than ten points below that of 2008″. And Neet, young people who do not study and do not work, despite being dropped by 64,000 in 2015, are still 2.3 million, half a million more than in 2008.
the increase in poverty
in the crisis, in addition, inequalities in income have grown, with a rhythm greater than in other countries, he says Breed. The poor have increased. The socio-economic conditions of the family of origin are still decisive for the academic performance and the work of children. Women have not yet achieved full equality. Yes, they graduating more than men, but 20% of those who work abandons when she becomes a mother, while the average number of children per woman “continues to decrease seamless.” Was 2.5 ninety years ago, “it is estimated at 1.5 for women of the 1970 generation.” The Italian company is the oldest in the world along with the Japanese.
The companies led by young people are more
But there are also signs of hope. The companies led by young people are more. In addition, in companies between 15 and 50 employees, the new regulations of the Jobs Act, have accelerated the trend assumptions, regardless of relief, say the researchers Istat. And it is not necessarily in the places left by hiring seniors who retire, so much so that Istat notes that there is no automatic replacement. As if to say that for any pension reform that would open the doors to early retirement does not translate necessarily a corresponding benefit for youth employment. That, at least in part, is moved out of the most innovative works. And this is positive. Of course, it remains the “dwarfism” entrepreneurial and backwardness of infrastructure. Broadband, where there is, improves business productivity by more than 20%, say the employees of Breed. Which, in the end, speaking to reporters, he insists on a concept: for Italy the most important thing is the human capital, because this gives an indication of what kind of development is pursued. The junction is here: between the status quo and a quantum leap. An investment on the quality, production, services and infrastructure.
May 20, 2016 (modified May 20, 2016 | 13:30)
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