Sitting in Red Square Business: Ftse Mib -3.94%, bad banks, cyclical limit the damage
Rounding sharp decline in the major Italian stock index with the Ftse Mib that gives 3.94% and FTSE Italy All Share who loses 4, 07% while the FTSE Italy All Star marks a decline of 5.12 percent.
They continue to propagate the waves of sales triggered by Brexit with Dax German who gives 3.02% and CAC 40 Frenchman who loses 2.97. The FTSE 100 UK marks a -2.77% but still recorded strong sales on bank while the ‘ Ibex 35 Spanish yields 1.83%.
Strong losses even on New York lists with ‘ S & amp; P 500 down 1.72% and Nasdaq a decrease of 2.27 percentage points.
In Europe Stoxx 600 gives 4.1% and Stoxx Europe 600 Banks 7.68% confirming the weight of the financial sector on sales in course.
Still in substantial downward pressure on the EUR / USD that is reported to 1.1014 with a -0.81 percent. The Sterling continues to lose share of major currencies: the euro yields 2.99%, 3.57% against the yen and 3.01% against the dollar.
Earnings down for the euro zone sovereign debt. Only the yield of the BTP Italian ten-year limited the declines to two basis points (1.52%) among the great. Purchases reward the German Bund which compresses a full 5 points, the returns bringing it to -0.11 percent stake. The spread BTP / Bund then arises as to 162 basis points. Down 6 basis points also the return of the ‘ Oat Frenchman who goes to 0.30 percent. Flexes less than 13 basis points in the yield of the Bono Iberian reaching 1.47% in spite of the political instability of joints signals since the last election. Worth noting the strong purchasing out from the Eurozone and at this point virtually out of Europe, the Gilt British decade that compresses the yield of about 14 basis points, bringing it back for the first time under one percentage point (to 0.94% approximately). It is a fly-to-quality (or better than an escape from sull’azionario risk) which could also benefit the betting on a strong intervention of the Bank of England that it could purchase more domestic government bonds. Furthermore, among the purchases of EU government bonds it is felt dall’azionario escape and in part the expectation of central bank intervention in the purchase.
In Milan, the banking sector continues to suffer with the FTSE Italy Banks that gives 9.23 percent. The Italian Government considers that the Italian banking sector is ready to absorb the shock (which, moreover, has already suffered in Business last Friday’s Square) in the medium term, but did not rule out interventions of banks in capital support agreement with Brussels, where the situation would again plummet. The Secretary to the Prime Claudio De Vincenti Council said that in case of need could be taken measures to “support the banks’ liquidity and their solvency.” In anticipation of the national and European decisions on possible maneuvers against the impact of Brexit , Citigroup has highlighted that for months it is evident, that an international perception of the fragility of our system bank due to the high level of non-performing loans. The American bank analysts have downgraded its rating from buy to neutral on Intesa Sanpaolo and Bper titles who judge well administered but exposed to the volatility of the financial markets: the goal of Intesa price rose from 3.45 to 2.00 euro, to or b from 6.80 to 4.00 euro and both are expected prospects of lower growth in loans, lower margins and higher cost of risk due to the uncertainty of the markets after the Brexit and sensitivity of the Italian banking sector the EU risk . Intesa lose 10.94% and Bper can shave closing the decline to a -1.03 percent.
The same goes for Unicredit (Neutral with target price down from 4.00 to 2.40 euro) to which is added – according to Citigroup analysts – the risk / opportunities the new CEO appointment. Unicredit ended the session with a hefty -8.09 percent.
Citigroup has also reduced from 8.50 to 6.50 euro price target of Mediobanca proposing the same considerations of risk and profitability, but leaving the buying advice (buy) . Mediobanca would be less exposed to traditional business and then to the turmoil of recent days, even though the title gives 12.77% of its value to the market. Although recently the Citigroup analysts have considered the entire European banking and especially the British negatively exposed to the effects of Brexit, it’s appropriate to say that a door slammed in London scares even the distant Italian banks.
Ubi Bank has shown in these hours the business plan 2019/2020 which provides for the net profit of 2019 of approximately 730 million with an ROTE of 9.4%, while in 2020 net profit should reach over 870 million with an ROTE 10.6 percent. Expected to grow to 3.8 billion of operating income in 2020, a cut in operating costs to 1.98 billion since 2019. Also waiting a reduction in the cost of credit due to the decline in new flows of impaired loans and stocks. The action of Ubi still suffers poor market climate and yields 6.35 percent.
In the afternoon widens losses also the title of Telecom Italy (-3.26%): according to Business & amp; Finance was seeking a new president for TimBrasil that might be identified in Manoel Horacio Francisco de Silva. The management of the parent company now led by CEO Flavio Cattaneo does not seem willing to promote extraordinary operations possibly forever least cautious guidance on Brazil via the Vivendi shareholder.
They return down the prices of the oil : Brent is trading at $ 47.33 per barrel (-2.26%) and WTI loses 2.47% to $ 46.49. Eni snubs the turn and earn a good part of the session bucking except give in closing sales and close with a slight decrease of 0.08 percent. Saipem gives 5.8% and Tenaris 2.81%.
Sitting difficult even for Mediaset (-6.77%) after the approval of the budget and the election of the board of the holding company Fininvest and despite promotion to buy Deutsche Bank (but with target price down from 4.00 to 3.85 €).
To note the rise in contrast to Recordati (+ 0.94%) and Terna (+ 0.09%), showing the its counter-cyclical character. Utilities give way to sales in the afternoon with A2A losing 1.57% and Acea that marks a -4.56% decline in the reduced to 0.51% of FTSE Italy All-Share Utilities , however, shows that the sector in general has been able to oppose or at least limit the damage of the widespread sales. Same for the FTSE Italy Health Care (0.00%).
(GD)
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