modernizers and traditionalists government Cameron are split on the referendum Brexit . But apparently from a survey by Orb ‘s Independent , the anti EU would be ahead by ten points in just 13 days referendum . And even most of the media are for output from ‘ Europe . According to the survey, the Eurosceptics are at 55%, with a ten-point gap on pro EU , to 45%. As highlighted by the site journal , this is one of the edge edge for the wider countryside Leave register lately. According to the average of polls of Financial Times , pro EU , however, I am still in the lead, at 45%, versus 43% of eurosceptics. And the uncertainties on the consultation of 23 June reflected heavily on the Bags : in a single day, the Squares of Old continent have burned about 174 billion euro.
the yes to the Brexit is a scenario that conjures Matteo Renzi , that the victory of the yes would be “a big mistake for the ‘ Europe and the United Kingdom. The first to pay the consequences – he continued – it would be the citizen English . I’m not worried about the polls that are poorly reliable. I think will prevail sense and that the English will not vote against yourself. It would not be a disaster in the long term but I prefer all my life that the United Kingdom remain in Europe .
“And if you will Brexit , said at the Spiegel Minister of Finance Wolfgang Schaeuble , London will no longer have access to the European single market, contrary to Norway , Lichtenstein, Iceland as well as Swiss , which are out of the EU . The German threat against London , in Europe is due mainly to free trade without barriers, it sounds like a mighty blow to British Eurosceptics as Boris Johnson , convinced that once released by the the United Kingdom will be able to renegotiate – to his advantage – Europe agreements à la carte . The consequences of a possible exit from the euro, then, would have serious repercussions on the handbags , which could lose about a quarter of their value.
One scenario described by Axioma , a company specializing in the definition of risk models, which analyzed a portfolio for 54% bonds, 41% equities and the rest in alternative investments, discovering that their stocks would be the most affected by sales with a decrease of 24%. To stimulate the potential impacts of the Brexit , reports the agency Bloomberg , Axioma has analyzed the market responses to past events, such as multi-year crisis debt in Europe and the referendum in Scotland . The stress test, however, only captures the short-term impacts, and not the structural changes that the release of the United Kingdom from the European Union would cause the economy to term . In addition, also the expectation of the Fed meeting – scheduled on 14 and 15 June – is not conducive to the markets. After the latest disappointing data on the US ability to create new jobs, they increased the doubts about the possibility that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates.
The collapse of bags – If Europe the day it went wrong ( Madrid 2.6%, Frankfurt -2 , 3%, Paris 2% and London -1.7%), in Italy even worse. On days fibrillation , even the Milan Stock Exchange was affected by the burden of debt and the difficulties it is going through the banking system. At the end of a session with a barrage suspensions, Milan closed at a loss of 3.6% at 17,120 points. Guilty of debacle are the financial stocks : the European sector index lost 3.1%. A Milan , apart from a title of fashion (Yoox in 6.5% loss), the lower part of the list is occupied by Unipol (-6.8%), and then Ubi, BPM, mps, all down 6.5%. Unicredit (-6.3%) closed at EUR 2.38, below the lows of June 2012.
At the bottom scenario, the figure of Bank of Italy is added on suffering, which in April increased compared to March, compared with € 196 198 300 000 000, however, growing less than they did in the previous set (the annual rate was 3.5% against 3.9 of the month previous). Other variables has introduced the ‘ OECD , with estimates – in line with those of the ECB – the growth of the pil Eurozone , expected 1.6% in 2016 and 1.7% in 2017, and the recommendation to loosen the constraints of the bail in in banking crises , to “bring benefits to the economy, particularly in the private sector with a view to future investment plans.”
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