Monday, December 15, 2014

Oil, Fed and ruble scare Bags, Milan -2.8%. Fall … – Il Sole 24 Ore

Oil, Fed and ruble scare Bags, Milan -2.8%. Fall … – Il Sole 24 Ore

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This article was published on December 15, 2014 to 23:30.
The last change is the December 15, 2014 at 23:38.

The decline in oil prices (which took an excursion day 63 to $ 61 ) and the trend of the ruble (-5%, with new record low against the dollar) return to scare investors at this stage of the year-end, characterized by risk aversion (also waiting for the elections in Greece and the board of the Federal Reserve scheduled for December 17). Male all European markets, including London, which saw the FTSE 100 closing down sharply: -1.87% to 6182.72 points

After trying to bounce (last week Milan Stock sold 7.4% in one of the worst for the eighth European stocks from the crisis of 2011) lists the Old Continent then returned to fall and did not do better, in fact, the Milan Stock Exchange, weighted by the return on sales bank stocks. Piazza Affari wore the black shirt with a deficit of 2.8%. Give Intesa Sanpaolo and Unicredit. MPS Banca Carige and in deep red after a positive start in the morning.

The first green light arrived from Frankfurt on plans to strengthen the capital of Carige Mps and seemed to have a positive effect on the two titles, but the orientation of the operators is abruptly changed in the early afternoon.

Investors, beyond the ok arrived by the ECB after the two banks have failed the stress tests, await clarity on new investors (business and financial) interest in the revival of the two institutions. At the moment, though, all the talk on this front remain open despite the many rumors that run in recent weeks. Today at BNL Fabio Gallia has again denied an interest in MPS while on Carige you continue to think of the possible interest of Andra Bonomi even if it is not the only possibility. Confirmed brilliant instead Saipem (+ 3.6%), BPM (+ 3.44%) and Fca (+ 3.31%) along with Tod’s (+ 2.84%). Shortly move Eni (+0.15%).

Weak Wall Street, fears rise anticipated rate
Wall Street closed down in the wake of positive macro data fueling expectations of an early rise in interest rates. Corre fact, industrial production in the UnitedStates. In November, according to the Federal Reserve, rose 1.3% after the slight increase in October, almost double analysts’ expectations. In November, manufacturing output grew by 1.1%, with gains widespread among all industries. Eventually the Dow Jones lost 0.61% to 17175.19 points, the Nasdaq yields 1.04% to 4605.16 points while the S & amp; P 500 leaves on the ground 0.7% to 1989.3 points .

Spread
On the bond market, the spread BTP / Bund drops to 135 points, compared to 143 the previous Friday last. The yield is 2%. A sign that investors continue to bet on a plan of “quantitative easing” of the ECB. The spread Bonos / Bund marks 116punti at a rate of 1.89% (Eurozone bond yields).

Ruble in free fall, Russia raises rates to 17%
It does not stop the fall of the ruble has weakened further against the dollar. The Russian currency has lost about 8% against the euro and the dollar after the release by the Central Bank of Moscow of a document laying out a scenario black economy for next year. Already in free fall, the Russian currency has therefore lost more ground: the euro has exceeded 78 rubles against 72.28 the day before and the dollar 63 rubles against 58.18. The ruble has lost so YTD 42% of its value against the European currency and 48% against the greenback. The central institution of Moscow has also announced that it raised interest rates to 17% from 10.5%, the highest since 1998, Decision with effect from 16 December.

The euro remains above 1.24 USD (euro / dollar exchange and currency converter).

Tokyo falling despite the triumph of Abe
The Tokyo Stock Exchange closed sharply lower, despite the triumph of the party of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to early elections. The Nikkei index fell 1.57% (-272.18 points) to 17099.40 points, weighed down by the weak dollar and the poor performance of emrcati. The Topix index lost 1.45% (-20.36 points) to 1379.29 points.



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