IMF raises estimates for Italy, GDP will rise ‘of 0.5% – AGI – Agenzia Journalistic Italy

23:27 April 14, 2015

(AGI) – Rome, April 14 . – The International Monetary Fund revised its growth estimates of our country in 2015, but the percentage of GDP continue to remain very low and Italy remains the penultimate eurozone economy. II Economic Report Spring expects the GDP of our country to rise by 0.5% this year and then accelerate to 1.1% next year. Numbers slightly more ‘lower than those contained in Def fixing the increase of product to 0.7% in 2015 and 1.4% in 2016, but more’ high of 0.1% and 0.3 %, compared to the same economists developed by the Institute of Washington in January. Italy therefore remains the last places for growth in the euro zone, only Cyprus will ‘worse than us this year with an increase in GDP of 0.2%, but already’ in 2016 we will exceed ‘with an increase of 1, 4%. On average the product of the Eurozone will rise ‘by 1.5% this year and 1.6% next. According to the IMF also in the current year and in the next calera ‘slightly unemployment, which is expected to fall to 12.6% in 2015 and 12.3% in 2016, but the average of the euro zone remains more’ low and sara ‘respectively to 11.1 and 10.6%. Inflation will remain ‘to zero this year and then accelerate to 0.8% next year. The balance of payments will remain ‘surplus of 2.6 and 2.5% respectively in the two years. Altogether, according to the IMF, global growth remains “moderate” and “uncertain”, supported by the recovery in the advanced economies, but slowed down by braking emerging. The world GDP, say economists in Washington, will rise ‘of 3.5% this year and then accelerate to 3.8% next year. Aguidare the rebound then will the advanced economies, whose GDP will increase ‘of 2.4% both in 2015 and in 2016 compared with 1.8% in 2014. In particular, once the tow will be’ from the United States, despite the Spring estimates are less optimistic than those in January: the US locomotive will run ‘at a rate of 3.1% both this year and next, respectively, 0.5 and 0.2% less than expected winter. And even Eurozone growth shows signs of recovery: according to the IMF, the GDP of the Eurozone, helped by the weakening of the euro and the fall in oil prices, will rise ‘by 1.5% in 2015 and’ 1.6% in 2016, 0.3 and 0.2% more than forecast in January. Finally, after a disappointing 2014, ended down 0.1%, although Japan will be back ‘positive, respectively 1 and 1.2% in the two years.
To make matters worse are the prospects of emerging economies. Their growth, with estimates unchanged compared to January, and ‘forecast to decelerate from 4.6% in 2014 to 4.3% in 2015 and then accelerate to 4.7% in 2016. At the weigh and’ the first drop of oil price that will impact ‘on the conditions of many oil-exporting countries. And China will continue ‘its cooling process imbalances, with growth likely to stand at 6.8% this year and 6.3% next year, compared with 7.4% in 2014. At the peak Russia, whose product will rebate ‘of 3.8% in 2015 and 1.1% in 2016, with a downward revision of respectively 0.8% and 0.1% in two years.