Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Milan down with the banks: bad Bpm and Tour. Spread tap 188 basis points – The Sun 24 Hours

Prevail the sales on the european stock Exchanges, in the aftermath of the record the Dow Jones has closed for the first time above the 19mila points and waiting for the dissemination of the minutes of the November meeting of the Federal Reserve. The index futures on the Us show a departure of a flat Bag Usa, in view of the feast of Thanksgiving day tomorrow. Europe is on the rise only to the London Stock exchange, while Piazza Affari marks the decline more heavy because of declines in the banking sector. On the rise In the spread Btp/Bund that has touched a maximum of 188,5 basis points. Calm on the currency, while oil fluctuates between cautious increases and decreases in view of the meeting of Opec on November 30th, which is decisive for the production cuts announced two months ago.



Bpm and the uncertainties on the merger with Banco

Tour and Bpm to lead declines in the milan-based banks
After the records of the eve on Wall Street and with the price lists of european traveling on a maximum of four months, today on the price lists in europe (follow here the performance of the major indexes) seems to return the caution. Purchases reward is still the sector of raw materials (follow the progress here of the sectors in Europe and in Italy). The Bag the worst is Milan (that yesterday had been the best), apart from the political uncertainty ahead of a referendum on 4 December, with the FTSE MIB index, dragged down by the titles of the banking sector. Sold Banco Popolare and Bpm for both, with The Sun 24 Hours writes that in the last inspection, the Ecb would have recognised the need to make any additional adjustments to 1-2 billion for the coverage of the Npl, even if this may not require a new recapitalisation. Heavy also Unicredit, Mediobanca , Ubi Banca and all other securities of the fund. Immediatel y in the swing Mps who changed direction several times in expectation of the extraordinary shareholders ‘ meeting of tomorrow will be decisive for the go-ahead for the capital increase of 5 billion. Weak General on the day of the Investor Day in London that has confirmed the target to 2018, with the output from the markets unattractive, the increase of productivity and reduction of operating costs. Denials entries 8 thousand cuts circulated yesterday on the market. In the decline in Telecom Italia after which Vivendi is ascent to the 23,15% of the share capital. Well buy the Fca and the Italgas.



it Is overdone the pessimism in the markets on the referendum

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Spread BTp/Bund exceeds the 188 basis points

Back to rise, the differential between ten-year Italian and German over 188 points (follow the progress here on the spread BTp/Bund), with the yield of ten-year Italian always over 2%. Despite the trend of rising interest rates in global market by the victory of Trump, analysts, Mps Capital Services report that they continue purchases on the short German, with the 2-year rate fell to new historic minimum this morning (-0,74%). On the front of the macro this morning, the Pmi for November are the best results expected in France (thanks to the services), slightly below the consensus in Germany (good services, in the braking of the manufacturing sector). In the Usa, rates are little moved in anticipation of the minutes relating to the meeting of the Fed at the beginning of November, which will be published in the evening. Traders will watch carefully for clues about the possible pace of increases in 2017.

Dollar holds positions waiting minute the Fed and Thanksgiving

On the currency front, the us dollar remains stable around recent highs in view of the minutes from the Fed tonight and Thanksgiving day tomorrow, with the euro, which confirms the area is 1.06 on the dollar (follow the progress here against the main currencies, the euro and the dollar). At the time, according to Mps Capital Services, only the overcoming of the resistance band in the area 1,0650 could give space to a rise in the most supported of the change.



Petroleum, prepares the cycle bullish

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Oil volatile at the mercy of the news Opec

another session volatile for crude oil continues to be at the mercy of the news on the front of the Opec. It still lacks a definitive agreement on the participation of Iraq and Iran to cut production, announced two months ago in Algiers, and that it should take the form of the Vienna meeting of 30 November. As already in yesterday’s session the barrel fluctuates between declines and increases, pending definitive guidance (follow here the trend of Brent and Wti).

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor Plus)

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