The board of directors of the General has given the go-ahead to conversion of the bonds subordinated Mps held by the company in the shares of the bank and gave a mandate to ceo Philippe Donnet to do so. As is indicated in a note of the General council, which met under the chairmanship of Gabriele Galateri di Genola, examined the voluntary Public Purchase Offer promoted by Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena on the subordinated instruments, the same issued or guaranteed, with the requirement of reinvestment of the consideration for the new shares” of the bank. The board of directors “has assessed favorably the conversion, giving a mandate to the Group Ceo, to convert into shares of Mps, the exposure to subordinated debt” of the bank, the object of the offer held by General and estimated in 400 million euro.
It is, in fact, open today window of five days in which owners of 10 bond subordinated Mps will be able to make the conversion into shares. In the morning, got the go-ahead from the Consob the prospectus, a document in which are contained some additional details on the status of the health of the bank and, therefore, on the risk of the operation: in particular, the law of legal risk for 8 billion (currently covered by 627 million) and a comparison is still open with the european Commission to “some critical issues” highlighted by the Executive of the community compared to the industrial plan presented at the end of October.
Officially the vice-president of the Commission Valdis Dombrovskis said that “the capital increase is fully in line with the Eu rules, for which any additional capital should be in the first place collected from the markets or from other private sources”.
in Addition, it learns that it is reduced from 11 to 10 bond proposal for conversion on the part of Mps. The bank of siena has announced that the title €699.999.999,52 Noncumulative Floating Rate Guaranteed Convertible FRESH Preferred Securities" has been excluded from the voluntary offer of conversion, as it has not been reached the consent of 50% of the nominal value in circulation. The exclusion of the bonds does not substantially change the magnitude of the conversion task, as the amount outstanding on the bond was only 28.6 million out of a total of approximately 4.3 billion euros.
Officially, the goal of the collection is a billion. But from the conversion of the bond is subordinated, to the Mount points to get more. In the awareness that “the price is very interesting,” as he recalled on Thursday, ceo Mark Morelli at the end of the meeting, but, above all, that a good response could lighten up at least part of the voltage on the referendum on Sunday, 48 hours after the closing of the window to convert: if the bondholder were to get a billion and a half, then, is the hope of the most optimistic among the advisor, also a possible victory of the “no” at the referendum that is annexed to the likely reaction of the markets could not automatically skip the transaction.
Mps, to convert or not to convert this is the problem
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The unknowns remain and many that in Siena, you prefer to reason with the logic of the step at a time. Thursday has arrived at the ok of the members in general meeting, on Friday, the endorsement of the minister Padoan on the participation of the Treasury to the increase, which, translated into figures – it looks to add 200 million to the amount potentially, the undersigned, of the five billion needed by the bank. This morning, the Consob has given the ok to the prospectus for the conversion of the bond, a total of more than 4 billion of nominal (the acceptance period shall be between the 28 November and 2 December, unless it is extended) : the choice of involving the bondholders retail has exponentially increased the formality of the accompaniment, but the focus is mainly on the institutional.
Why, you think in the bank, for more than one reason should be the most sensitive to the price discount, resulting in possible upside on the title once you receive it, in exchange and can enhance it in the bag; the alternative, to hold and not to convert, brings with it an obvious risk: decrease the probability of success of the operation and raise those of the resolution, which – according to the data, while indicative, provided by the bank – meaning the assault, that is, the zero, 4-5 billion of securities, although on a total of 64 billion of liabilities at risk of bail-in. Wednesday or Thursday, the bank will make the point in bod: mid week you should have the pretty picture outlined on the performance of the Lme – the liability management exercise – and in those same hours also the main contributor, i.e. General, with its 400 million bond in the belly, should have disbanded the reserves.
In parallel to the Lme, the ceo, Mark Morelli, as anticipated yesterday by The Sun, the week will be in London again to meet up again with some investors. By some of them, perhaps even from the sovereign wealth Fund of Qatar, could also reach a commitment that is not binding on the increase, that little would change in substance – the problem is not who is doing it but if you do – but it certainly would help to create a climate which is more positive around the operation. Friday evening we will do the accounts on the bond and will cross the fingers up to the d-day of Monday the 5th of December, when the uncertainty of the referendum will be resolved, and with it the reaction of the markets. At dawn – a few hours from the closing of the polls – the business banks of the guarantee consortium of the Monte will be a first call and then will follow-up with the 284 investors met with the ceo Marco Morelli by the end of October. Driving steps to understand if the warranty can be confirmed, and – therefore – if the rise may go: a few hours after the board of directors of the Mountain, already convened in Milan, decide to act accordingly.
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