Growth of GDP this year and 0.7% in the period 2016-17 by 1.6% per year: these are the forecast report Afo 2015-17, developed by ABI together economists of consultants of the leading banks in Italy. The report confirms the exit from the recession and outlines “a framework that does not ignore the difficulties” but is “a predominant shades of pink.”
“The recovery in demand will be able to permanently remove the risks of deflation, with growth in consumer prices in Italy will be lower than the European Union (1.3% against 1.7% on average in the period 2016-17) but well back from negative values known at the beginning of the year. ” This was stated by the Forecast Report Afo 2015-17, developed by ABI with economists of the consultants of the leading banks in Italy. The baseline scenario indicates consumer prices up 0.4% in 2015, 1.1% in 2016 and 1.6% in 2017.
Even in a context “positive, like the one designed in Afo Report for the period 2015-17, the bank profitability will continue to be anything but bustling: the net profits of the banks are expected to amount to the end of 2017 to just over 10 billion euro, the value corresponding to a return on equity (ROE ) by 2.6%, more than three times lower than pre-crisis levels. “
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