Flexibility on the accounts, the EU opens. But Italy wants to immediately written commitments on reforms
The government will submit them by October 15 with the Stability Law
ANSA
13/09/2014
milano
There will be a number set in stone, because “we do not have to choose between black and white.” In the traditional zoological classification of European leaders, Jyrki Katainen has so far been represented as a hawk among hawks. Uncompromising, speaking voice Merkel and orthodoxy dies hard. No one until a few weeks ago would have bet that the former Finnish Prime Minister is transformed instead into the great mediator. At the summit of finance ministers of Milan is the key question of the reporters for him will happen to countries that fail to comply with the rules? Is it possible that a crisis so deep the European economy can be resolved with the usual red cards in the Brussels bureaucracy? The question for Italy is crucial.
If we were to comply with the letter of the treaties, the law of stability should provide a correction of the accounts of at least ten billion. Renzi and Padoan now make no secret of the intentions of the government spending cuts there will be (as they promise), but will be used to finance or reduction of taxes, or other expenses. Katainen, on behalf of Europe, yesterday said yes to this scheme. But the exchange – so if we can call it – will take place under very specific conditions.
The crucial moment will be October 15, the deadline by which the law of stability must be on the table of the Commission. Must be accompanied by a “timetable”, the same as Enrico Letta prepared shortly before leaving Palazzo Chigi. But in contrast to that list, too long and ambitious, this time the attention of Brussels will focus on only a few major goals in Europe have understood perfectly well that in Italy the problem is not to make reforms, but rather implement them.
The issues on which Renzi is lying in wait are primarily three: labor, justice, public administration. The discount will be much higher as the government will be able to demonstrate the positive impact of the reforms on growth in the medium term. At that point the deal will inevitably complicate. Suffice it to say that while Renzi explicitly said to be inspired by the reform of German labor in Brussels remain convinced that the one that can give better results in Italy is carried out in Spain. The only mitigating factor – the European technocracy is so called – will be the trend of the economy of the entire euro area: how much more does go wrong, the more we will be granted time.
Less than a year ago – it was December – a summit of heads of state a few days before Christmas Merkel made a proposal: allow flexibility for individual countries in exchange for structural reforms. The idea was rejected by many, first of all by those reforms had made, at great cost and without seeking or obtaining discounts.
Two countries were moderately favorable: Italy and France. It was no accident, because the proposal was made to measure the two major sufferers in Europe. Renzi knows that this is the only way forward, and decided to gear up for the challenge. Yesterday, as often happens during the European summit, the government has sent a signal by obtaining the signature of the decree of the Quirinale Unlock-Italy.
But the real test will impose severe spending cuts and wastage, failure is by Monti that Letta. In the coming days at Palazzo Chigi is setting up the team of economists that the intention of the Prime Minister should advise the mission impossible: conYoram Gutgeld and Filippo Taddei, there will certainly Marco Simoni, Thomas Nannicini, Marco Fortis, Louis Marattin and Veronica De Romanis .
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12/09/2014
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